Draft Order NFL: Projected Records 1. Cleveland Browns: 0-16, 2. New York Giants: 3-13, 3. New York Jets (from Indianapolis Colts): 4-12, 4. Cleveland Browns (from Houston Texans): 4-12, 5. Denver Broncos: 5-11, 6. Indianapolis Colts (from New York Jets): 5-11, 7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5-11, 8. Chicago Bears: 5-11, 9. San Francisco 49ers: 6-10, 10. Oakland Raiders: 6-10, 11. Miami Dolphins: 6-10, 12. Buffalo Bills (from Cincinnati Bengals): 7-9, 13. Washington Redskins: 7-9, 14. Green Bay Packers: 7-9, 15. Arizona Cardinals: 8-8, 16. Baltimore Ravens: 9-7, 17. Los Angeles Chargers: 9-7, 18. Seattle Seahawks: 9-7, 19. Dallas Cowboys: 9-7, 20. Detroit Lions: 9-7, 21. Cincinnati Bengals (from Buffalo Bills): 9-7, 22. Buffalo Bills (from Kansas City Chiefs): 10-6, 23. Los Angeles Rams: 11-5, 24. Carolina Panthers: 11-5, 25. Tennessee Titans: 9-7, 26. Atlanta Falcons: 10-6, 27. New Orleans Saints: 11-5, 28. Pittsburgh Steelers: 13-3, 29. Jacksonville Jaguars: 10-6, 30. Minnesota Vikings: 13-3, 31. New England Patriots: 13-3, 32. Philadelphia Eagles: 13-3

2018 NFL Mock Draft: 4 Rounds

Round 1 Picks 1-16

The 2018 NFL Draft has a chance to be a great group. Adam Schefter believes each of the top 3 picks will be quarterbacks and so do I after Saturday's trade.

Chris Ransom follow @DraftUtopia Last Updated: March 19, 2018 with updates every Monday leading up to Draft Day.

  1. Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB, USC

    Cleveland fired Sashi Brown and hired John Dorsey. In 2017 each one of Cleveland's scouts had a different quarterback as QB1 with one regional scout endorsing Watson, one endorsing Mahomes, one endorsing Davis Webb, and one endorsing Kizer plus you had the Trubisky smokescreens that the media planted as well. In 2018, you see more of the same. One scout on Cleveland has Rosen as QB1, one has Mayfield as QB1, one has Josh Allen as QB1, one has Lamar as QB1, and one has Darnold as QB1. John Dorsey brought in his own scouting department so he could get a consensus on the quarterbacks in this class.

    Cleveland did the unthinkable going 0-16. It's going to be up to the Browns to restore faith in Cleveland because LeBron James may leave after this season and the Chief Wahoo logo will no longer appear on Indians jerseys after 2018. Yes, you'll still see the Wahoo logo in our MLB Power Rankings and MLB Mock Drafts because I'm keeping that up until the Indians win a World Series. Let's get back to the Browns though because it's up to them to restore things in Cleveland.

    I have five quarterbacks graded with a 93 potential with Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield, and Lamar Jackson 2018 Underclassmen Tracker. I've also completed the top 300 prospects on our 2018 NFL Draft Game.

    John Dorsey seems like someone who will take a quarterback that can read up to 6 progressions because the only quality I saw this with when it came to the 2017 quarterbacks was Patrick Mahomes. Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, and Baker Mayfield all have this quality. Sam Darnold didn't throw at the 2018 NFL Combine, but Dorsey went to Darnold's Bowl Game against Ohio State and he didn't go to Mayfield or Rosen's Pro Day. Dorsey went to Mahomes Pro Day at Texas Tech last season in his final season as the Chiefs GM.

    Cleveland just traded for Jarvis Landry, Tyrod Taylor, and Damarious Randall. They also sent Kizer to Green Bay. They signed Carlos Hyde to a 3-year $15-million dollar deal in Free Agency as well before adding T.J. Carrie as a dime cornerback. They also traded Jason McCourty their top cornerback to New England so now the Browns need multiple cornerbacks, but its a very deep cornerback class. They still may draft a quarterback at 1 and sit him behind Tyrod Taylor. I wouldn't be suprised if Cleveland still got Darnold and developed him.

    Sam Darnold had 3,787 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and a 63.7 completion percentage. Darnold had 80 more passing yards and a higher completion percentage than Josh Rosen so if he throws well at his USC Pro Day, I don't see anything keeping him from being the top pick even though he may bust.

    I also have a film session of Sam Darnold on my Youtube Channel. I'll post a video of it so you can watch the tape rather than reading these in depth write ups. The Darnold video was my first video, so I hope you enjoy it.

    Previous Pick: Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State

    Other Cleveland Browns Selections

  2. New York Giants: Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA

    In this mock, the Giants get a quarterback to groom behind Eli Manning. Eli's contract runs through 2020, but if New York has another bad season in 2019, then they could release Eli Manning and save $17-million in cap space. That's enough capital to extend Odell Beckham Jr. so the new regime will let Eli start until the Giants are eliminated from contention. After that, they'd insert Rosen in at that point and find out if he's there guy. Eli didn't play in his rookie season until Kurt Warner struggled.

    I considered Saquon Barkley at 2 as well, but New York has Jonathan Stewart, Paul Perkins, and Wayne Gallman under contract. I also considered Notre Dame left guard Quenton Nelson because Dave Gettleman loves to build in the trenches. At the end of the day, I think the Giants draft their quarterback of the future and secure Josh Rosen knowing they won't get an opportunity to get a quarterback this good again for a long-time. Davis Webb is not a future starter for me and Josh Rosen went 50/55 at his Pro Day throwing in the wind.

    Josh Rosen will still have Nate Solder who the Giants picked up in Free Agency at left tackle when the team moves on from Eli Manning. That's why taking Rosen makes complete sense here and now you can use your remaining picks to build the rest of the offensive line and get a running back in 2019 when its more feasible for the Giants since next year may boast a potentially stronger group than this years class. The 2019 quarterbacks appear to be bigger projects than this years group even though this class doesn't have a blue chip quarterback with Sam Darnold and Josh Rosen probably being the closest things to blue chip quarterbacks.

    Rosen has 3,717 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, 10 interceptions, and a 62.5 completion percentage in 2017. Rosen would have three consecutive seasons of 3,500 passing yards if he didn't suffer a season ending injury in 2016 plus he was the top quarterback recruit coming out of High School.

    I have a film session of Josh Rosen on my Youtube Channel. I'll post a video of it so you can watch the tape rather than reading these in depth write ups. I was more impressed with Rosen's tape than Darnold's. Teams love Darnold's deep ball accuracy more than Josh Rosen's though.

    Previous Pick: Quenton Nelson, LG, Notre Dame

    Other New York Giants Selections

  3. New York Jets: Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming

    I feel like the Jets are going to take a quarterback at 3. They loved Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, and Josh Allen all equally as prospects. At the same time New York realized how raw these quarterbacks are so they brought in two stop gap quarterbacks in for one year deals with Josh McCown and Teddy Bridgewater.

    New York should have stayed put at 6. They still could have got their quarterback. At the same time, Buffalo had plans to move up and New York basically told Buffalo they have to settle for Baker Mayfield or Lamar Jackson by moving up to 3. I think trading up this far for Josh Allen is irresponsible when you need a second running back, additional wide receivers outside of Roby Anderson, a new tight end to replace Austin Seferian-Jenkins, starters at both offensive tackle spots, and a starting center. I'll probably give the Jets a C grade in my live draft special unless New York ends up with Darnold or Rosen. New York wanted to guarantee themselves Darnold, Rosen, or Allen, and if the Giants or Browns gets Saquon Barkley it pretty much means that the Jets get Darnold or Rosen at 3 so I can see the reasoning behind why the Jets moved up to 3 even though I would have stayed put.

    Other New York Jets Selections

  4. Cleveland Browns: Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State

    Cleveland gets Saquon Barkley at 4 after a quarterback run. I have a max grade on Saquon Barkley. I had a max grade on Andrew Luck and Myles Garrett. This is the guy the Browns should take at 1, but if they want their pick of the quarterbacks then they have to take Darnold at 1 and hope Saquon Barkley slides to 4. Otherwise they would take Minkah Fitzpatrick in this scenario. For now Cleveland got their home run threat in the 6-0 230 lb Saquon Barkley and would have Carlos Hyde as a number two back to Barkley.

    Saquon Barkley gives the Browns a running back with the vision, pass protection, pass catching, and speed that you want a franchise running back to have. Barkley had 1,076 rushing yards and 7 rushing touchdowns as a true freshman in 2015. He had 1,496 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns as a true sophomore in 2016. Barkley has 1,134 rushing yards, 16 rushing touchdowns, and 594 receiving yards as a junior in 2017. Barkley has also corrected his issues in pass protection making him a three down back. Saquon Barkley gives quarterback Tyrod Taylor someone in the backfield that he can depend on.

    I have a film session of Saquon Barkley on my Youtube Channel. I'll post a video of it so you can watch the tape rather than reading these in depth write ups.

    Previous Pick: Sam Darnold, QB, USC

    Other Cleveland Browns Selections

  5. Denver Broncos: Quenton Nelson, LG, Notre Dame

    Denver only signed Case Keenum to a 2-year deal. They can let him go in 2019 if he sucks. If Keenum doesn't match his high level of play in 2017 they can draft a quarterback like Baker Mayfield and develop him on the bench until Keenum screws up. They could also draft a blue chip impact player like Quenton Nelson who would be a huge upgrade over Max Garcia. Garcia is a solid starter entering the final year of his rookie deal, but there's no question that Nelson is an upgrade and putting him at left guard next to center Matt Paradis and right guard Ronald Leary gives Denver a deadly interior offensive line to compliment Garrett Bolles. They also need to get a starting right tackle, but they can do that with their next pick at 40.

    Previous Pick: Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA

    Other Denver Broncos Selections

  6. Indianapolis Colts: Bradley Chubb, RE, North Carolina State

    Indianapolis is switching to a 4-3 defense. There isn't a pass rusher in Free Agency that brings what Bradley Chubb brings to the table. A defensive line anchored by Bradley Chubb at 4-3 right end with Hassan Ridgeway who had 3 sacks down the stretch as a 2016 fourth round pick and Henry Anderson complimenting Chubb at 4-3 defensive tackle with Tarrell Basham or Jabaal Sheard at 4-3 left end. A defensive line of that caliber will get pressure on the opposing quarterback. Indianapolis released Jonathan Hankins so they could get a defensive tackle as well if one of the big names in this draft falls to the second round. I can also see them waiting until 2019 for a defensive tackle with that being a much deeper defensive tackle class.

    Bradley Chubb will thrive in a 4-3 defense as a 4-3 only prospect. Indianapolis is the perfect fit for Bradley Chubb now that they are moving to a 4-3 defnes. With 40 solo tackles, 33 assisted tackles, 73 total tackles, 25 tackles for a loss, 10 sacks, and 10 quarterback hurries in 2017, Chubb is too good to pass on here.

    I also have a film session of Bradley Chubb on my Youtube Channel. I'll post a video of it so you can watch the tape rather than reading these in depth write ups. Indianapolis still got Bradley Chubb at 6 even after trading down with the New York Jets.

    Other Indianapolis Colts Selections

  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mike McGlinchey, LT, Notre Dame

    I realize Minkah Fitzpatrick is the best overall player on the board. Tampa Bay brought back Brent Grimes to compliment Vernon Hargreaves III and nickel cornerback Ryan Smith. Josh Robinson the dime cornerback is back. T.J. Ward is still at strong safety and Justin Evans should finally take that next step at free safety for Tampa Bay in 2018. I don't think they will take Minkah Fitzpatrick at 7.

    I also don't believe Tampa Bay will take a defensive end until day 2 thanks to signing Vinny Curry as a Free Agent as they now have Curry and Spence as starting defensive ends in 2018. Tampa Bay also overpaid for Ryan Jensen who sucks at center compared to Ali Marpet, but opens the possibility of Marpet moving to guard too. J.R. Sweezy is a pure right guard so Ali Marpet or Donovan Smith would move to left guard if Jensen moved to center. I see Jensen as as a depth player if Marpet goes down with another injury in 2018.

    Tampa Bay gets a left tackle to protect Jameis Winston's blindside. Mike McGlinchey maintains blocks for 5-7 seconds when engaging with a defender. Unlike Connor Williams who is lingering blocker that relies on his foot speed while maintaining blocks for 3-5 seconds, McGlinchey maintains blocks for 5-7 seconds and is a constant blocker when he gets his hands on a defender despite struggling versus speed rushers at times. McGlinchey is also my only blue chip offensive tackle prospect in this class reminding me a lot of Joe Thomas coming out of Wisconsin back when I first scouted him in the Summer plus the other reason Tampa Bay can benefit from drafting McGlinchey is because their left tackle Donovan Smith would move over to left guard while Demar Dotson would remain at right tackle after his option got picked up.

    Other Tampa Bay Buccaneers Selections

  8. Chicago Bears: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB, Alabama

    Chicago has Cameron Meredith and Kevin White coming back. They also added Allen Robinson and Taylor Gabriel putting any notion of the team drafting Calvin Ridley to bed at 8.

    Chicago re-signed both of their starting cornerbacks in Kyle Fuller and Prince Amukamara. Fuller is under contract until 2022 and Amukamara is under contract until 2021.

    The big question is will Chicago ignore need and take the best overall player in Minkah Fitzpatrick who I got a 98 potential grade on or take my next best available player that fills a need at 3-4 middle linebacker in Roquan Smith who I got a 97 potential grade. I'm leaning towards the former at the moment.br>
    Minkah can play strong safety or free safety too with his versatility so Chicago gets Minkah Fitzpatrick and uses him as a nickel cornerback and a free safety allowing Fitzpatrick to play all over the field like Kyle Fuller did during his rookie season except Minkah would be in that role for three to four years. Prince Amukamara has only played all 16 games once in his NFL career plus Nick Kwiatkoski their 2016 draft pick at middle linebacker out of West Virginia impressed down the stretch.

    Chicago should take Minkah at 8 if they are sold on Kwiatkoski moving forward. If they don't believe Kwiatkoski can be the man they should take Roquan Smith here. Either way, I feel confident Chicago will take one of those two defensive players at 8.

    Other Chicago Bears Selections

  9. San Francisco 49ers: Roquan Smith, MLB, Georgia

    San Francisco won the coin flip with Oakland. Their cornerback situation is a lot more stable thanks to them signing Richard Sherman.

    The 49ers found their quarterback. They went 5-0 with Jimmy Garoppolo after Garoppolo went 2-0 when filling in for Tom Brady during the Deflate Gate suspension. Joe Staley and Trent Brown can be a great left tackle and right tackle tandem when healthy. You also added Weston Richburg at center in Free Agency. Getting a middle linebacker that is clean off the field and moving their 2017 first round pick Reuben Foster to a left outside linebacker role due to a lack of maturity could make a huge difference.

    Roquan Smith had 72 solo tackles, 41 assisted tackles, 113 total tackles, 10.5 tackles for a loss, 8 quarterback hurries, 5.5 sacks, 2 deflections from pass breakups, 1 forced fumble, and 1 fumble recovery in 2017. Smith is my fifth best overall player in the draft behind Barkley, Chubb, Nelson, and Minkah and San Francisco can get the best player available at a position of need with the ninth overall pick as well as my highest graded middle linebacker since Luke Kuechly.

    Other San Francisco 49ers Selections

  10. Oakland Raiders: Tremaine Edmunds, MLB, Virginia Tech

    The Oakland Raiders will need a middle linebacker if Navarro Bowman leaves. Oakland added Tahir Whitehead as a 4-3 right outside linebacker, but they need a middle linebacker. Bruce Irvin is moving back to defensive end where he began his career allowing him to play off the edge next to Khalil Mack.

    Tremaine Edmunds is a 6-5 253 lb middle linebacker. Edmunds has 55 solo tackles, 47 assisted tackles, 102 total tackles, 14 tackles for a loss, 5.5 sacks, 4 quarterback hurries, 3 forced fumbles, and 2 deflections from pass breakups. Edmunds is projected to run a 4.5 flat 40-time and is versatile enough to play 4-3 right outside linebacker, 4-3 middle linebacker, 4-3 left outside linebacker, and 3-4 middle linebacker.

    Other Oakland Raiders Selections

  11. Miami Dolphins: Will Hernandez, LG, UTEP

    Miami gets a left guard at 11 for depth. Miami's offensive line features Laremy Tunsil at left tackle, Josh Sitton who they picked up from Chicago at left guard, Daniel Kilgore at center, Ted Larsen moving from left guard to right guard where he will do better, and Ju'Wuan James at right tackle.

    The 6-3 327 lb Will Hernandez gives you a long-term starter with the 31-year-old Sitton getting a two year deal. You also got Isaac Asiata developing under Larsen at right guard.

    Hernandez dominated the 2018 NFL Combine to the point where he deserves to go as high as eleventh overall. At the same time, I'm not as confident as I previously was about Miami taking him. I can see why people say Hernandez is a project compared to Quenton Nelson despite his tremendous Senior Bowl week along with his dominant 2018 NFL Combine. I can also see Miami targeting a quarterback or a right tackle here if they move Ju'Wuan James in a trade.

    Miami moved on from Ndamukong Suh, and while a defensive tackle is becoming the trendy pick to mock to Miami, I don't see them going that route with Jordan Phillips, Davon Godchaux, Vincent Taylor, and William Hayes expected to move from defensive end to defensive tackle. Miami is still four deep at defensive tackle without Suh so taking his replacement makes zero sense when they can just find a defensive tackle in a much deeper defensive tackle class in 2019 if these guys fail to fill the void that Suh left.

    I can even see Miami continuing to trade down and stockpile on picks until they are in position to take a tight end late in the first or early in the second round. For now I'll leave Will Hernandez in Miami since they can develop his footwork while Sitton plays. Hernandez dominated most of the drills at the 2018 NFL Combine, but he did struggle with the kick slide drill so Miami can improve his pass blocking footwork while Sitton plays his two-year contract out.

    Other Miami Dolphins Selections

  12. Buffalo Bills: Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma

    Buffalo got this pick thanks to their decision to trade left tackle Cordy Glenn to Cincinnati. Buffalo drafts a quarterback that will compete with A.J. McCarron for the starting job and possibly develop under him during their rookie season. Baker Mayfield is the top quarterback available at 12, but Buffalo may trade up.

    Baker Mayfield may be undersized at 6-1 220 lbs. He's more along the lines of Drew Brees than Johnny Manziel and has a better arm then Brees did when he came out of Purdue.

    Baker Mayfield dominated 2015 with 3,700 passing yards, 36 passing touchdowns, 7 interceptions, and a 68.1 completion percentage in 2015. Baker Mayfield had 3,965 passing yards, 40 passing touchdowns, 8 interceptions, and a 71.0 completion percentage in 2016. So far in 2017, Mayfield has 4,340 passing yards, 41 passing touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 71.0 completion percentage. Mayfield is on pace to become the first quarterback with back-to-back seasons with a completion percentage of 71 percent or higher since Andrew Luck. Mayfield balled out in the Senior Bowl practice sessions despite leaving the game. Baker is a team player, he's going to start right away in Buffalo.

    Other Buffalo Bills Selections

  13. Washington Redskins: Derwin James, FS, Florida State

    The Redskins get the best player on the board in Derwin James. He fills a key void at free safety. I had Washington going with a quarterback, but the Chiefs traded quarterback Alex Smith to Washington for a third round pick and a player.

    Other Washington Redskins Selections

  14. Green Bay Packers: Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa

    The Packers traded Damarious Randall. Kevin King is not a field cornerback. He covered #2 receivers at Washington while Sidney Jones covered the number one targets so that makes Jones > King. Josh Jackson out of Iowa is a field cornerback that can anchor Green Bay's secondary for years to come and unlike Rollins or King he can cover number one wide receiver targets.

    Previous Pick: Marcus Davenport, 3-4 ROLB, UTSA

    Other Green Bay Packers Selections

  15. Arizona Cardinals: Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville

    Arizona signed Sam Bradford to a 1-year deal worth $20-million. They also got Mike Glennon as a backup on a one-year deal. That means if they draft Lamar Jackson he will develop on the bench behind Bradford and Glennon, but could work his way up the depth chart with a strong training camp.

    Lamar Jackson won the 2016 Heisman Trophy after having 3,543 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 21 rushing touchdowns, 51 total touchdowns, and 9 interceptions in 2016. The 6-2 208 lb Jackson has 3,660 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, 18 rushing touchdowns, 45 total touchdowns, and 10 interceptions in 2017. Lamar is a fantastic decision maker with elite duel threat ability. The big issue is he's never completed 60 percent of his passes in College and you also see issues with his accuracy at times on tape, but finally got that up to 60.4 percent this season in 2017. Lamar struggled in his bowl game with 4 interceptions so I can see Lamar falling to Arizona only to be their quarterback of the future.

    Lamar only threw the ball 49 miles per hour at the 2018 NFL Combine with his velocity which is pretty low. One scout told me that Lamar Jackson had the worst whiteboard session since Akili Smith at the 2018 NFL Combine. In fact if he bombs, his Louisville Pro Day like Teddy Bridgewater did back in 2014 he could end up moving down to the second round. Tony Mario and Mark Sciubba both have Lamar in the second round now which is worth noting. Right now I'll give Lamar the benefit of the doubt and mock him at 15 though.

    Other Arizona Cardinals Selections

  16. Baltimore Ravens: Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama

    Baltimore gets someone who many consider to be the top wide receiver in the 2018 NFL Draft. Calvin Ridley balled out at Alabama's Pro Day. He's now my number one wide receiver after giving him a bunch of objections throughout the process because he showed me he could run 25-30 routes just like Anthony Miller and Christian Kirk. Scouts say he breaks routes on a Michael Irvin level. I wasn't sure he could run 25-30 routes like Miller and Kirk, but he can plus he's the best receiver at breaking routes in this draft. Baltimore is taking a page from the Oakland Raiders. Oakland brought in Crabtree in Free Agency when they drafted Amari Cooper at 4 and now Baltimore is bringing in Crabtree before they draft Ridley hoping Flacco can put up Derek Carr type of numbers with Michael Crabtree and Calvin Ridley.

    Other Baltimore Ravens Selections

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