Caleb Williams is easily the best quarterback I've seen in college football since Trevor Lawerence. Chicago traded Justin Fields to Pittsburgh meaning the Chicago Bears get their franchise guy. The 6-1 214 lb Caleb Williams transffered to USC for his sophomore season where he had 4,537 passing yards, 42 passing touchdowns, 382 rushing yards, 10 rushing touchdowns, 4,919 total yards, 5 interceptions, and a 66.6% completion percentage before winning the Heisman Trophy as the best player in College Football as a sophomore in 2022. Caleb Williams had 3,633 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 136 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 3,769 total yards, 41 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 68.6% completion percentage as a junior in 2023.
Ryan Poles hugged Caleb Williams longer than Caleb hugged him at USC's Pro Day. Poles also gave Caleb Williams mother a constant handshake. This is a clear tell that the Bears are drafting Caleb Williams at 1.
Caleb Williams will have quite the supporting cast on offense with D.J. Moore as his flanker wide receiver, Keenan Allen as his secondary wide receiver after being the number one wide receiver on the Los Angeles Chargers for seven years, Cole Kmet at tight end, D'Andre Swift at running back with Khari Blasinggame at fullback. Chicago's offensive line also has Braxton Miller at left tackle, Teven Jenkins at left guard, Ryan Bates takes over at center, Nate Davis remains at right guard, and Darnell Wright enters year two at right tackle after going tenth overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. Caleb Williams has a pretty good supporting cast to make an immediate impact in the NFL.
I have an 84/99 floor grade on Caleb Williams and a 99/99 max ceiling grade on Caleb Williams. Three years ago, I had an 85/99 on Trevor Lawrence coming out of Clemson, he regressed that first year under Urban Meyer before taking off in year two under Doug Pederson to get from an 84 to an 89 down the stretch before going from a 89 to a 90, 91, or 92 this year in year three with Jacksonville's play down the stretch. It may take Lawrence two more seasons to reach the ceiling many thought he had coming out of Clemson after an incredible sophomore year in 2022-2023. The bigger question is how does that affect Caleb Williams and his development?
Seattle's offensive coordinator who mentored Dave Canales at quarterback coach left Seattle to go to Chicago to coach Caleb Williams as the Chicago Bears new offensive coordinator. Caleb could dominate as a rookie since this is the best supporting cast that I've seen a rookie quarterback get since Andrew Luck got drafted by the Indianapolis Colts or Russell Wilson got drafted by Seattle in 2012. Even Robert Griffin III had a good supporting cast in Washington with Trent Williams breaking out at left tackle in year three when RGIII won rookie of the year with Silverback Williams and Mike Shanahan's legendary coaching staff at the time. The reason Luck and Griffin never lived up to their ceilings was because both GMs in Indianapolis and Washington failed to build on that supporting cast after those rookies broke out.
If you trust the Chicago Bears offensive tackles, I honestly think an argument for Chicago having the best supporting cast for a rookie quarterback since Ben Roethlisberger can be made, but Chicago's interior offensive line isn't in the same league as Pittsburgh's offensive line when they went 15-1 before winning Super Bowl 40. I believe Caleb Williams can get Chicago to Super Bowl 60 or Super Bowl 61 because I believe Caleb Williams will reach his ceiling by the end of his third year in the league which is the exact point where Patrick Mahomes reached his ceiling and won his first Super Bowl if the Chicago Bears can keep this offense in tact with so many impact players on defense whether those impact players are younger players or older players. I doubt Chicago would beat the AFC Champion, but I can see Caleb Williams making the Chicago Bears a powerhouse in an already stacked NFC North Division, but I can also see him being a bust as well.
I won't be surprised if Caleb Williams struggles as a rookie. I also won't be surprised if Caleb Williams becomes the Chicago Bears first 4,000 yard passer right out of the gate either with Seattle's offensive coordinator that coached Geno Smith the last two years because the weapons he has with Swift, Moore, Allen, and Kmet are incredible weapons to have as his offensive tackles Miller plus Wright are good, but not great yet.
I posted a film cut of USC quarterback Caleb Williams VS San Jose State. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
Washington traded Sam Howell for a 2024 third round pick. Jayden Daniels is the only quarterback that Washington brought in for a top 30 visit, but Drake Maye is the favorite now to go second overall by the slimmest of margins. There's reports that Adam Peters has decided on LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels at 2.
The 6-4 210 lb Jayden Daniels had 3,812 passing yards, 40 passing touchdowns, 885 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 4,797 total yards, 51 total touchdowns, 4 interceptions, a 72.12 completion percentage, and a FBS best 95.7 quarterback rating which was best in the FBS in 2023. Jayden Daniels will have a good supporting cast in Washington, but it won't be as good as the supporting cast Caleb Williams has in Chicago.
Washington will have Austin Ekeler at running back, Terry McLaurin at flanker wide receiver, Jahan Dotson will be the secondary wide receiver, Olamide Zaccheaus at slot receiver, Zach Ertz at tight end, Braden Daniels at left tackle, Nick Allegretti at left guard, Tyler Biadasz at center, Sam Cosmi at right guard, and Andrew Wylie at right tackle.
I have a 81/99 floor grade on Jayden Daniels and a 97/99 ceiling grade. I had a 84/99 floor grade on Joe Burrow and a 94/99 ceiling grade on Joe Burrow which is why he was so dominant so quickly following a rough rookie season even though many had a blue chip grade on Burrow after going 15-0 and winning the Heisman at LSU. Daniels is rawer than Burrow was and if Washington doesn't improve the offensive line in day 2 of the 2024 NFL Draft, I don't see Jayden Daniels developing much as a rookie despite having good weapons. Especially under offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury.
I believe Jayden Daniels will need four years of development to reach his ceiling and you have to upgrade this offensive line in order for Jayden Daniels to avoid the same fate Robert Griffin III had because Robert Griffin III had a better floor and ceiling than Daniels before peaking after his rookie season due to his injury history.
I posted a Jayden Daniels film cut versus Alabama. Jayden Daniels looked great versus Alabama.
Drake Maye is my second best quarterback graded ahead of Jayden Daniels. If Drake Maye is here, New England should stay at 3 and take North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye according to NFL Insider Cameron Wolfe.
The 6-4 223 lb Drake Maye had 3,608 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 449 rushing yards, 9 rushing touchdowns, 4,057 total yards, 33 total touchdowns, 9 interceptions, and a 63.3% completion percentage in 2023. I got Drake Maye as my second best quarterback in this draft even though Drake Maye would be going to a situation where he would have the weakest supporting cast of the top 3 quarterbacks in the 2024 NFL Draft.
I have a 79/99 floor grade on Drake Maye which exactly where I had Justin Herbert in terms of floor, which is also slightly higher than where I had Justin Fields graded in terms of floor. I also have a 98/99 ceiling grade on Drake Maye. I do believe Drake Maye can be a quarterback with Justin Herbert's floor and Josh Allen's ceiling.
The thing is, Maye has a much worse supporting cast in New England compared to what Herbert got dealt at wide receiver as a rookie despite having an awful offensive line. I see Drake Maye going from a 79 to an 80 as a rookie before slowly improving to an 83 in year two where some begin to question if he's the guy before breaking out with three consecutive seasons exactly how Josh Allen developed in Buffalo.
New England fans finally have their quarterback, but Drake Maye may not break out until 2026 because we saw the same thing with Tua Tagovailoa where he didn't show people the Pro Bowl upside he had at Alabama until year 3 after Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle were both on Miami. It will most likely take Drake Maye all five years of his rookie deal to reach his ceiling, but Drake Maye has all the traits you want to reach that ceiling by year five if New England makes an actual effort to improve their supporting cast. Drake Maye can make all 6/6 progressions while Jayden Daniels can only make 5/6 progresions which is why Maye has a higher ceiling than Daniels in my opinion. He's also younger than Daniels too, so Maye is my QB2 behind Caleb Williams because of his age, longevity, and potential.
I posted a film cut of North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye VS South Carolina. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
Arizona gets a number one wide receiver for Kyler Murray. The 6-3 208 lb Marvin Harrison Jr. can run all 30 routes on the route tree giving the Arizona Cardinals a number one wide receiver for their starting quarterback.
Marvin Harrison Jr. had 77 receptions, 1,263 receiving yards, and 14 receiving touchdowns when he was a finalist for the Billetnikoff Award as a sophomore despite Jalin Hyatt winning the award when many critics argued that Marvin Harrison Jr. was more deserving of the award in 2022. Marvin Harrison Jr. had 67 receptions, 1,211 receiving yards, and 14 receiving touchdowns when winning the 2023 Billetnikoff Award while also being a Heisman finalist.
Marvin Harrison Jr. is the son of former Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Marvin Harrison. Marvin Harrison Jr. got to learn from his father at a young age and was with his dad when the Colts won Super Bowl 41 and when Marvin Harrison got inducted into the 2016 Hall Of Fame for NFL players.
I believe Marvin Harrison Jr. has a floor of 86/99 and a ceiling of 99/99. As far as projections go, I believe Marvin Harrison Jr. will have between 80 and 100 receptions as a rookie with 1,000 to 1,800 receiving yards, and 14 to 21 receiving touchdowns. He is my pick to win Offensive Rookie Of The Year with Kyler Murray getting him the football in 2024.
I posted a Marvin Harrison Jr. film cut versus Notre Dame and Penn State. Marvin Harrison Jr. dominated versus Penn State and that's the film cut I embedded into this 2024 NFL Mock Draft. Expect his rookie season to be very comparable to Ja'Marr Chase during Chase's rookie season on the Cincinnati Bengals.
Los Angeles now has Rashawn Slater at left tackle, Zion Johnson at left guard, Cory Linsley or Bradley Bozeman at center pending Cory Linsley's health, Jamree Salyer right guard, and Joe Alt at rignt tackle. Quarterback Justin Herbert will have the type of wall that our former President dreams of. The 6-9 321 lb Joe Alt dominated at left tackle during his time at Notre Dame. He also did well at the 2024 NFL Combine.
Joe Alt can pass block, run block, and zone block. The pass blocking footwork, pass blocking strength, run blocking footwork, and run blocking strength you want from a blindside at left tackle is there. Joe Alt allowed 0 sacks, 8 pressures, and finished as the top ranked offensive tackle on 406 pass blocking snaps in 2022. Joe Alt got promoted to team captain and allowed 1 sack and 5 pressures on 368 pass blocking snaps while also being a finalist for the Lombardi Trophy which goes to the top offensive lineman in 2023.
I posted a film cut of Notre Dame's offensive line VS Ohio State. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
Daniel Jones finally gets a number one wide receiver. There's no more excuses as Malik Nabers is easily the New York Giants best wide receiver since former LSU wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. who was the New York Giants first round pick in 2014.
The 6-0 200 lb Malik Nabers had 72 receptions, 1,017 receiving yards, and 3 receiving touchdowns in his first season with quarterback Jayden Daniels in 2022. Malik Nabers had 89 receptions, 1,569 receiving yards, and 14 receiving touchdowns. Many critics believed Malik Nabers was more deserving of the 2023 Billetnikoff Award over Marvin Harrison Jr. Malik Nabers ran a 4.35 40 yard dash at LSU's Pro Day. Malik Nabers can run all 30 routes on the route tree.
I posted a Malik Nabers film cut versus Alabama. Malik Nabers dominated versus Alabama.
Tennessee can draft the 6-6 342 lb JC Latham who hasn't played left tackle since his junior year of High School. I got five offensive tackles graded above JC Latham, but left tackle is the Titans greatest need. This is a B grade based on left tackle being the biggest position of need for Tennessee, but a D grade based on value which averages out to a C grade.
JC Latham allowed 0 sacks, 12 pressures, and 1 quarterback hit in 517 pass blocking snaps in 2022. JC Latham allowed 2 sacks, 14 pressures, and 3 quarterback hits on 443 pass blocking snaps in 2023.
JC Latham can pass block, run block, zone block, has the pass blocking footwork, and run blocking footwork. His pass blocking strength and run blocking strength could improve. Also, losing some weight would go a long way in improving the conditioning and foot speed for JC Latham.
Tennessee has JC Latham at left tackle, Peter Skoronski at left guard, Lloyd Cushenberry III at center, Daniel Brunskull at right guard, and Nicholas Petit-Friere at right tackle. There's a chance JC Latham has to compete with Nicholas Petit-Friere for the left tackle job in training camp, but at the very worst JC Latham will be a day 1 starter at right tackle if he struggles as the blindside to Will Levis.
Michael Penix Jr. is a guy that may have potential to be a borderline Pro Bowler, but with J.J. McCarthy there, I really don't understand this.
The 6-2 212 lb Michael Penix Jr. had 4,641 passing yards, 31 passing touchdowns, 92 rushing yards, 4 rushing touchdowns, 4,733 total yards, 35 total touchdowns, 8 interceptions, and a 68.8% completion percentage in his first season at Washington in 2022. Michael Penix Jr. was one of two quarterbacks at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl with a hand size above 10 inches with 10 3/8 inch hands. Michael Penix Jr. had 4,903 passing yards, 36 passing touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 8 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 4,906 total yards, 39 total touchdowns, a 65.1% completion percentage, and a 83.4 quarterback rating which was tenth in the FBS in in 2023.
Michael Penix Jr. participated in both the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl and the 2024 NFL Combine. He would be a good fit for the Atlanta Falcons at this spot in the first round. Michael Penix Jr. develops behind Kirk Cousins whose got a buyout clause in his contract starting in 2026 which will save $32,500,000.
I posted a film cut of Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. VS Oregon. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
Chicago gets a third wide receiver for Caleb Williams here. D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen are good veterans to have. Rome Oduzne gives the Chicago Bears a third quality starter at wide receiver with Cole Kmet at tight end which really allows Caleb Williams to maximize his options in the passing game.
Chicago could also consider Jared Verse if he's there at 9 or even Olumuyiwa Fashanu the Penn State left tackle who protected the blindside of Caleb Williams in High School. If Rome Oduzne is on the board and Jared Verse is gone like in this mock draft, I strongly believe Chicago drafts Rome Oduzne at 9.
The 6-3 212 lb Rome Oduzne had 75 receptions, 1,145 receiving yards, and 7 receiving touchdowns in 2022. Rome Oduzne had 92 receptions, 1,640 receiving yards, and 13 receiving touchdowns in 2023. Rome Oduzne can run all 30 routes on the route tree just like Marvin Harrison Jr. and Malik Nabers which is why he's in the discussion to go in the top 10 of the 2024 NFL Draft.
I posted a film cut of Washington wide receiver Rome Oduzne VS Oregon. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
Minnesota gets a guy who can push and potentially supplant Sam Darnold as a day 1 starter. The 6-3 219 lb J.J. McCarthy had had 2,991 passing yards, 22 passing touchdowns, 202 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 3,193 total yards, 25 total touchdowns, 3 interceptions, a 72.3% completion percentage, and a 89.2 quarterback rating which was third in the FBS in 2023. J.J. McCarthy could be the day 1 starter with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson as his security blankets while Christian Darrisaw is his left tackle and Brian O'Neill as his right tackle.
I posted a film cut of Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy VS Ohio State. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
New York Jets: Olumuyiwa Fashanu, LT, Penn StateA+ Grade
New York gets a blindside for Aaron Rodgers. This gives New York an offensive line with Olumuyiwa Fashanu at left tackle, John Simpson at left guard, Joe Tippmann at center, Alijah Vera-Tucker at right guard, and Morgan Moses at right tackle, and Tyron Smith as a swing tackle.
Olumuyiwa Fashanu only allowed 1 quarterback hurry and 0 sacks at Penn State in 2023. Olumuyiwa Fashanu can go to a team like New York at 10 and potentially be an upgrade over the Free Agent signings that New York made on the offensive line. The pass blocking, run blocking, zone blocking, pass blocking strength, pass blocking footwork, run blocking strength, and run blocking footwork is there with Olumuyiwa Fashanu.
Olumuyiwa Fashanu allowed 0 sacks sacks and 10 pressures on 382 pass blocking snaps. Olumuyiwa Fashanu suffered a season ending injury in 2022 and got injured when running his first 40-yard dash at the 2024 NFL Combine. He did work out with teams before the draft, so I'm not overly worried about Olumuyiwa Fashanu's medicals.
I posted a film cut of Penn State's offensive line VS Ohio State. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
The 6-2 218 lb Bo Nix had 4,508 passing yards, 45 passing touchdowns, 234 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns, 4,742 total yards, 51 total touchdowns, 3 interceptions, a 77.4% completion percentage, and a 91.0 quarterback rating in 14 starts in 2023. Bo Nix will compete with Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson for the starting job. Ben Dinucci's fate is sealed in Denver.
I posted a film cut of Oregon quarterback Bo Nix VS Washington. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
Las Vegas gets my number one tight end in 2024 to pair with my number one tight end in 2023. This is like putting the Terminator and Robo Cop in the same offense.
The 6-3 243 lb Brock Bowers is a blue chip tight end that should go in the top 5 and top 10 at the very worst. Brock Bowers, Michael Mayer, and Davante Adams gives the Las Vegas Raiders lethal trio in the red zone which will allow them to use two tight end sets as well as Adams.
Adding Brock Bowers to Las Vegas would already take a lethal passing game that Las Vegas has and elevate that passing game to a deadly level. Brock Bowers had 56 receptions, 882 receiving yards, and 13 receiving touchdowns as a freshman when Georgia won their first championship in the College Football Playoff in 2021. Brock Bowers had 63 receptions, 942 receiving yards, and 7 receiving touchdowns when Georgia repeated as National Champions in 2022. Brock Bowers had 56 receptions, 714 receiving yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns in 2023.
I posted a film cut of Georgia tight end Brock Bowers VS Ole Miss. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.
New Orleans may need multiple upgrades at offensive tackle. Trevor Penning got benched down the stretch in year two, but will get one more chance to break out as the New Orleans Saints 2022 first round pick unless someone like Olumuyiwa Fashanu falls to this pick at 14. Ryan Ramczyk may not play this season with how bad his knee injury is. Taliesa Fuaga is a day 1 starter at right tackle next to Trevor Penning.
Taliese Fuaga has the pass blocking, run blocking, zone blocking, pass blocking strength, pass blocking footwork, run blocking strength, and run blocking footwork you want from a day 1 starter at right tackle. Fuaga also dominated Laiatu Latu at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl in the one-on-ones during practice. There were reports that Taliesa Fuaga had the best interview among every offensive tackle at the 2024 NFL Combine too.
Taliese Fuaga allowed 0 sacks, 11 pressures, 8 hurries, and 3 quarterback hits as Oregon State's right tackle in 2022. Taliese Fuaga allowed 0 sacks, 12 pressures, 10 quarterback hurries, and 2 hits over 351 pass blocking snaps in 2023.
Indianapolis gets a 4-3 right end that opposing left tackles have to account for. There's one blue chip pass rusher still on the board and Indianapolis can start at 4-3 right end. That pass rusher is UCLA edge rusher Laiatu Latu who can play 4-3 right end, 4-3 left end, 3-4 right outside linebacker, or 3-4 left outside linebacker with his versatility.
The 6-5 261 lb Laiatu Latu had 20 solo tackles, 3 assisted tackles, 23 total tackles, 52 quarterback pressures, 12.5 tackles for a loss, 10.5 sacks, 3 forced fumbles, and 1 deflection from a pass breakup in 2022. Laiatu Latu had 28 solo tackles, 21 assisted tackles, 49 total tackles, 57 quarterback pressures, 21.5 tackles for a loss, 13 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 2 interceptions, and 2 deflections from pass breakups in 2023.
Laiatu Latu can pressure the quarterback, stop the run, or drop back into coverage. Laiatu Latu did well against offensive tackles in the PAC 12 and validated his first round status at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl.
Indianapolis now has Laiatu Latu at 4-3 right end, Kwity Paye moves over to 4-3 left end, Samson Ekubam is now the situational defensive end as the backup 4-3 defensive end, and Dayo Odeyingbo is now the number four defensive end. Not only do the Colts have a defensive end that can intimiate left tackles, they upgraded everywhere else at pass rusher.
Seattle is drafting a third string nose tackle at 16. Jarran Reed and Jonathan Hankins are both better than Byron Murphy II, whose expected to move inside to nose tackle despite being undersized.
The 6-0 297 lb Byron Murphy II had 13 solo tackles, 16 assisted tackles, 29 total tackles, 8.5 tackles for a loss, 7 quarterback hurries, 5 sacks, and 1 rushing touchdown as a fullback in 2023.
Byron Murphy II would be a great 4-3 defensive tackle and luckily for Murphy, Cincinnati runs a 4-3 defense. Byron Murphy II struggled against Oklahoma which is why I have a second round grade on him even though many have Murphy as the top defensive tackle in the draft. He didn't wow me in one-on-ones like Newton or Fiske did, but if he gets an invite to the 2024 NFL Draft there's a good chance he goes in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft.
I posted a film cut of Texas DL Byron Murphy II VS Oklahoma. You can watch that film cut in the clip below.