2017 NFL Draft: Quarterback Rankings
Chris Ransom follow @DraftUtopia Last Updated: April 12, 2017.
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech Projected Round 1st Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-3 219 lb Patrick Mahomes has huge expectations in 2016 after being named team captain of Texas TEch. It's uncertain if Mahomes lives up to those expectations, but I am expecting Mahomes to make a huge splash this season. I had him as a mid first round prospect, but Mahomes may get pushed up with a strong 2016 junior season. He also has the best chance of keeping Watson from being the top quarterback taken in the 2017 NFL Draft. Mahomes is losing running back Dwayne Washington, wide receiver Jakeem Grant, and left tackle Le'Raven Clark so Mahomes will have to lead Texas Tech without those guys so Mahomes will be tested without his supporting cast in 2016.
- Patrick Mahomes absolutely dominated against Stephen F. Austin. Mahomes had 483 passing yards, 4 passing touchdowns, 57 rushing yards, and 2 rushing touchdowns in Texas Tech's opener. That's one reason why he got named team captain of Texas Tech as a junior in 2016. He will have a bigger challenge against Arizona State, but has to be the #2 quarterback behind Deshaun Watson at this point.
- Mahomes continued his clinic with 540 passing yards against Arizona State. Mahomes had 540 yards in one game while it took two games for Watson to reach 540 yards. Let that sink in folks. Mahomes was the only quarterback in the nation with over 1,000 passing yards in the FBS through 2 games with 1,023 passing yards. His 70.8 completion percentage stands out plus he has 12 total touchdowns with 9 through the air and 3 on the ground. Mahomes had 30 completions in each of his first two starts and is making a very strong case for being the top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft.
- Patrick Mahomes had 470 passing yards, 5 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, and no interceptions against Louisiana Tech. Mahomes improved his completion percentage from 70.8 to 71.2 and invited everybody with a ticket to that game to his birthday party following the game. Nobody got arrested at Mahomes birthday so that should speak volumes about his character as a player and as a person.
- Mahomes went 27/34 with 277 passing yards, 4 passing touchdowns, and 1 interception against Kansas. Mahomes got injured against Kansas, but came back for the Kansas State game where he threw for 504 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and ran for 3 more rushing touchdowsn despite the 44-38 loss to Kansas State. Mahomes also shook Bill Snyder's hand following the loss to Kansas State since it is Bill Snyder's final year as Kansas State's head coach with him retiring.
- Mahomes is posting mind boggling numbers so far with 2,274 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 162 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 27 total touchdowns, a 72.8 completion percentage, and 4 interceptions through 5 games.
- Mahomes struggled against West Virginia, but he bounced back with 734 passing yards against Oklahoma. After picking apart an NFL secondary, Mahomes helped Texas Tech get a road win over TCU. Mahomes had 367 passing yards against Texas and 344 passing yards against Oklahoma State. Mahomes kept his cool under pressure even when Vincent Taylor pressured him.
- Patrick Mahomes now has 4,230 passing yards, 34 passing touchdowns, 293 rushing yards, 12 rushing touchdowns, 46 total touchdowns, a 66.8 completion percentage, and 8 interceptions in 2016. Mahomes has really impressed me and solidified himself as my top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft if he declares.
- Patrick Mahomes worst game came against Iowa State. He threw 1 passing touchdown and 2 interceptions in that game. After watching that game I was convinced he was no longer the top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft.
- Mahomes rebounded though with a very strong game against Baylor. Mahomes went 30/46 with 580 passing yards, 6 passing touchdowns, and no interceptions. That game showed how Mahomes could play under pressure. Patrick Mahomes finished his 2016 junior season at Texas Tech with 5,052 passing yards, 41 passing touchdowns, 285 rushing yards, 12 rushing touchdowns, 5,337 total yards, 53 total touchdowns, a 65.7 completion percentage, and 10 interceptions.
- Mahomes watches tape of NFL quarterbacks on Sundays. He tweets about which quarterbacks have the most swagger in the NFL by calling Aaron Rodgers or clutch or Dak Prescott a gamer. His favorite team growing up was the Dallas Cowboys.
- Patrick Mahomes declared for the 2017 NFL Draft. He signed with Leigh Steinberg the agent of Denver Broncos 2016 first round pick Paxton Lynch. Mahomes is a vastly superior quarterback compared to Paxton Lynch. I think a team like the Houston Texans could easily take him in the late first round.
- Mahomes is calling NFL plays in San Diego. He is doing 200 reps a day on weekdays in a facility in San Diego on weekdays and 100 reps on weekends to improve his ability to make NFL throws because scouts question his ability to adapt from an air raid to an NFL offense that much. I know for certain that Tim Tebow did not do that many reps when training for the NFL and if Patrick Mahomes is that committed to improving his game then he will succeed in the NFL even if he falls to the second or the third round.
- We're going to find out what physical traits Patrick Mahomes has during the NFL Combine like his height and weight his hand size. We will likely see him participate in the throwing drills. At Texas Tech's Pro Day he will have the opportunity to make NFL throws and he will have the chance to call anywhere between 50-100 plays in front of NFL scouts just to illustrate his commitment and how bad he really wants to be an NFL quarterback.
- I believe Mahomes has these leadership traits you cannot teach when watching his tape. Mahomes dominated the 2017 NFL Combine and Texas Tech's Pro Day going 65/68. Now I have a second round grade on him after seeing how bad he was against a weak Iowa State team.
- Patrick Mahomes is the wild card of this draft. Mahomes may have the highest ceiling of any quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. You can also argue he's easily the biggest project.
Patrick Mahomes SWOT Report
- Strengths: Patrick Mahomes has a cannon for an arm. Mahomes has the short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep ball accuracy you want in a franchise quarterback. He can make reckless throws at times, but he delivers. Mahomes is by far and away the most complete quarterback I've seen in this years draft and it isn't even close. Was named team captain on offense at Texas Tech so leadership is a strong attribute that Mahomes possesses.
- Weaknesses: Mechanics and footwork were the two knocks on Mahomes. He fixed that though at the 2017 NFL Combine and Texas Tech's Pro Day. Mahomes played in an Air Raid offense at Texas Tech which has teams concerned. Teams should not be worried about that because like Marcus Mariota and Jared Goff he has experience under center and played in a Pro Style offense in one game during his freshman year as well as High School. He's got the football IQ and mindset to adapt to the NFL.
- Opportunities: 13. Arizona Cardinals, 25. Houston Texans, 27. Kansas City Chiefs, 32. New Orleans Saints, and 33. Cleveland Browns. Cleveland has him as their top quarterback, but they have a late first round grade on him. I doubt Mahomes escapes the top 33 and should be drafted by Arizona or Houston in the first round.
- Threats: Patrick Mahomes has no threats. He is hands down my top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. I believe Mahomes is the fifth best prospect in the entire 2017 NFL Draft, but I doubt he gets picked in the top 10.
- The son of a former MLB pitcher, Patrick Mahomes played in an NFL pro style in High School before he took over for Baker Mayfield at Texas Tech in 2014. Mahomes had 1,547 passing yards, 16 passing touchdowns, 4 interceptions, and a 56.8 completion percentage as a first-year starter in 2014.
- Mahomes did a much better job in 2015 showing the ability to operate a shotgun spread offense, a vertical offense, a balanced run first offense with DeAndre Washington, and a West Coast offense under center in 2015. Even though most of Mahomes plays were out of the spread, he showed flashes of Pro Style plays at times much like California quarterback Jared Goff.
- Mahomes dominated in his second season. Mahomes had 4,653 passing yards, 36 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing touchdowns, 46 total touchdowns, and 15 interceptions while posting a 63.5 completion percentage in 2015. Only Washington State quarterback Luke Falk only had more passing attempts than Mahomes in 2015.
- Mahomes has the short, medium, and deep accuracy in a balanced run first offense, vertical offense, a shotgun spread offense, or a West Coast offense in 2015. Mahomes has a much quicker release with much greater throwing power and delivery on his throws than Watson. He's not as accurate as Watson which is what makes the Watson VS Mahomes debate for the 2017 NFL Draft a 1A VS 1B scenario.
- Some will say Patrick Mahomes has benefitted from a weak strength of schedule. There is some truth to this. Mahomes has potential to be the best quarterback in this draft, but he's a project in some ways as well. Mahomes only had 3 games where he threw no interceptions and those games were against UTEP, Iowa State, and Kansas State. Mahomes had at least 1 interception and 2-5 bad throws against every other opponent. The teams that Mahomes dominated against had weak secondaries in UTEP, Iowa State, and Kansas State so some will question if he can deliver against quality competition.
- Patrick Mahomes reminds me of Matthew Stafford in terms of throwing power as he has incredible velocity, a quick release, and a bullet for an arm. I see flashes of Joe Flacco in terms of accuracy in the short, medium, or deep passing game. Mahomes is like Teddy Bridgewater in terms of making progressions along with the scrambling of Andrew Luck. I think he will have a better career in the NFL than Deshaun Watson, but I would not be surprised if Watson got drafted ahead of Mahomes simply due to Watson facing tougher competition and having more experience calling NFL plays at Clemson.
- DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame Projected Round 1st Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-4 230 lb DeShone Kizer is a sophomore redshirt since he sat out of his true freshman season even though some do have him as a junior. Kizer will graduate in 2018, but could play at Notre Dame until 2019 if he wanted to play at school for four years.
- Kizer wowed scouts against Texas and had another strong game against Nevada despte a rough start. Kizer now has 2 games with 15 completions. Even though Kizer's 371 passing yards aren't that impressive, his 7-to-1 touchdown to interception ratio through 2 starts along with his 71.4 completion percentage against Texas and Nevada are what stands out on tape.
- Kizer began Notre Dame's game against Michigan State 9/17 with 140 passing yards, no passing touchdown, and 1 interception. Kizer finished 11/20 204 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. Kizer managed to throw for 344 passing yards on Michigan State despite dealing with a lot of adversity early in the game.
- Kizer threw for 471 passing yards against Syracuse with 3 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, 4 total touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kizer only had 54 passing yards against a North Carolina State team with no NFL prospects on defense. That's the biggest reason I moved Kizer down.
- Kizer struggled against Stanford. Kizer played much better against Miami FL and Navy having no interceptions in both contests. Kizer has the quickest release among the 2017 quarterbacks and has done a better job than Deshaun Watson avoiding turnovers.
- Kizer played well against Virginia Tech despite losing 34-31. He played terrible against USC.
- Many will argue Kizer has all the traits of an NFL starting quarterback on tape. Excellent throwing power and arm strength, vision, short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep ball accuracy yet he never threw for 3,000 passing yards and only completed 58 percent of his passes in 2016 as a sophomore redshirt.
- Kizer may have the ideal traits you look for in a franchise quarterback, but because he was so inconsistent on tape you can argue that he is likely to bust just like Mitch Trubisky. At the same time you can also argue that Kizer will have a better career since his ceiling is higher than Trubisky's plus he has two years of experience as a starter while Trubisky only has one.
- Kizer aced the 2017 NFL Combine as well as Notre Dame's Pro Day. That's why Kizer is now my second best quarterback behind Patrick Mahomes.
DeShone Kizer SWOT Report
- Strengths: DeShone Kizer has good arm strength and size. Kizer has the best physical tools of any quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. He can make the right reads and progressions with enough time in the pocket. Probably has the best mechanics of any quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft.
- Weaknesses: Lacks the velocity Patrick Mahomes has and isn't as accurate as Mahomes. Has a tendency to throw into coverage sometimes. He will overthrow some passes and with other passes he fails to fire the football far enough. Kizer needs to sit on the bench for a year and learn how to correct this part of his game. Kizer never threw for 3,500 passing yards at Notre Dame. That makes me want to question how consistent he is, but if you look past that you can make a case for Kizer being the top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. He was inconsistent, but he's got potential if he applies his skill set in the NFL.
- Opportunities: 25. Houston Texans, 27. Kansas City Chiefs, 32. New Orleans Saints, 33. Cleveland Browns, and 34 San Francisco 49ers. I have a second round grade on Kizer, but he will get pushed into the first round depending on where Mahomes gets picked. I could see Kizer getting picked in the first or second round.
- Threats: DeShone Kizer has no threats. He is the only quarterback outside of Mahomes who has aced the draft process this year.
- DeShone Kizer was a third stringer in 2014. Then during his freshman redshirt season he took over for an injured Malik Zaire in 2015. Kizer had 2,884 passing yards, 21 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing touchdowns, 31 total touchdowns, a 63 completion percentage, and 10 interceptions in 2015.
- Kizer lost left tackle Ronnie Stanley and wide receiver Will Fuller. Kizer is competing with Zaire for Notre Dame's starting quarterback job in 2016.
- Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson Projected Round 2nd Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-2 210 lb Deshaun Watson enters the 2016 Regular Season as the top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. He talked a lot about discipline in the 2016 offseason and the importance of it heading into this season. Watson is the safest quarterback in a quarterback class that has been the most uncertain in quite some time. I think Watson is a mid first round prospect based on tape, but at the same could get pushed into the top 5 or possibly go first overall in the 2017 NFL Draft simply due to the demand at quarterback.
- Deshaun Watson had 248 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, and 1 interception against Auburn. Watson struggled once again against Troy. Watson is still a first-round pick, but I don't see him as a top 5 pick anymore with Patrick Mahomes and DeShone Kizer doing a much better job avoiding turnovers.
- Watson was much more accurate against South Carolina State going 12/15 with 3 passing touchdowns and no interceptions. Watson got his completion percentage up from 52.9 to 56.8 following this game. His 152 passing yards were underwhelming though.
- Deshaun Watson had 304 passing yards against Georgia Tech and 306 passing yards against Louisville. Watson threw 4 of his 7 interceptions on the season in those games. Watson had 4 passing touchdowns and no interceptions against Boston College. Watson throws a lot of passes into coverage on tape. This was a problem he had in 2015 and still has in 2016.
- Deshaun Watson has 1,572 passing yards, 18 passing touchdowns, 244 rushing yards, a 60.7 completion percentage, and 7 interceptions through 5 games in 2016.
- Watson had 378 passing yards against both North Carolina State and Florida State. Watson threw 3 interceptions against Pittsburgh and 2 into double coverage. Watson has better arm strength and accuracy than Kizer, but he does not have the field vision, awareness, and football IQ to recognize coverages like Kizer does.
- Watson gained 5 lbs of muscle between the start of the regular season and the 2016 ACC Championship game where he picked apart Georgia Tech. Watson gained 10 lbs of muscle between the end of the ACC Championship and the start of the 2017 College Football Playoff to put himself at 6-2 225 lbs.
- Watson displayed much more throwing power and better accuracy despite throwing passes into coverage. Watson was flawless against Alabama going 36/56 with 420 passing yards, 3 passing touchdowns, and no interceptions agianst the best defense in the nation.
- Watson began the year as the top quarterback and even though he went through some rough patches in 2016. There was a turning point where it looked like Watson would fall to the third round, but he's regained my top spot due to this quarterback class being so weak and due to Clemson winning the 2017 College Football playoff. Deshaun Watson may be a third round prospect in the eyes of some NFL scouts, but playing that exceptional against a team like Alabama may vault him into the top 5 having a similar rise up draft boards like Vince Young did when he led Texas to a win over USC.
- Watson completed at least 67 percent of his passes for the third year in a row. Watson has excellent throwing power and accuracy on tape. His biggest problem is recognizing coverages and correcting his vision. Watson can throw short, medium, or deep passes effectively, but I'd like to see him improve his deep ball accuracy and be more consistent in this category. Watson has most of the traits that you look for in an NFL quarterback except the football IQ to recognize coverages consistently, but he has drive, discipline, and work ethic that may be high enough to overlook his football IQ.
- He can spend his first year correcting his vision and recognizing coverages like Jameis Winston and then spending his second season correcting his deep ball accuracy just like Winston did in Tampa Bay only to come out guns blazing in year three at a Pro Bowl level.
- Jameis Winston threw 18 interceptions in 2014, stole crab legs, swore on campus, and was accused of raping a woman, yet he still went first overall since he was such an exceptional prospect in terms of his GPA being 4.0 and having that football IQ and work ethic. I sort of feel that way about Watson, except Watson is clean off the field and he has the work ethic and drive to be a starting quarterback in the NFL.
- Watson will struggle if you start him right away unless you draft well on day 2. He may have some hurdles in year two, but he will learn plays efficiently and show some clutch moments in his second season.
- Watson is extremely skilled at quarterback, but he's not someone that will absorb an overwhelming amount of knowledge like Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Matt Ryan, or Dak Prescott. He's a quarterback like Jameis Winston, Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton, or Ryan Tannehill who will excel into a Pro Bowler by his third year over time if you place him in the right system as long as you remain patient with him without making any coaching changes. Watson is definitely the best quarterback in this 2017 NFL Draft, but he's also someone you have to remain patient with. The team that drafts Watson needs to realize this.
- Watson was named team captain during his junior season at Clemson. Despite failing to live up to the preseason hype of being a candidate that won the 2016 Heisman Trophy, Watson showed excellent leadership and adversity even after the loss to Pittsburgh. Even when his critics doubted him he did just enough to silence them and that is the definition of a leader at the NFL level. You want someone who wins and plays well consistently. Watson is the only quarterback with a championship on his resume, and that may vault him up to the top in such a thin quarterback class.
Deshaun Watson SWOT Report
- Strengths: Deshaun Watson has the quickest release of any quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft. Watson also possesses the discipline and leadership that NFL teams covet. Watson also has exceptional footwork for a quarterback.
- Weaknesses: Watson struggles with reading progressions. He struggled with throwing to the left at Clemson's Pro Day, but struggled with throwing to the right on tape. I'm not sure if Watson has Rick Mirer syndrome, but now I'm sort of hesitant about taking him in the first round after watching him throw into double coverage against Pittsburgh.
- Opportunities: 27. Kansas City Chiefs, 32. New Orleans Saints, 33. Cleveland Browns, 34 San Francisco 49ers, and 36. Chicago Bears. I have a second round grade on Watson, but he will get pushed into the first round depending on where Mahomes and Kizer get picked. I could see the Chiefs taking Watson to groom behind Alex Smith at 27.
- Threats: Deshaun Watson has no threats. He hasn't aced the draft process like Mahomes or Kizer, but he won a National Championship in College and was clutch versus Alabama.
- Clemson quarterback Deshaun Watson is the safest quarterback heading into 2016. He was a five star recruit in 2014 before committing to Clemson. Watson had 1,466 passing yards, 14 passing touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and a 67.9 completion percentage as a part-time starter in 2014.
- Watson did a much better job as a sophomore showing the ability to operate a shotgun spread offense, a vertical offense, and a balanced run first offense with Zac Brooks and Wayne Gallman to open up the passing game. The only offense Watson doesn't know is the west coast offense where he hikes the football under center in an NFL Pro Style offense.
- Watson dominated in his second season and his first season as a full-time starter. Watson had 4,104 passing yards, 1,105 rushing yards, 5,209 total yards, 35 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing touchdowns, 47 total touchdowns, and 13 interceptions while posting a 67.8 completion percentage in 2015.
- Watson has the short, medium, and deep accuracy in a balanced run first offense, vertical offense, or a shotgun spread offense. At the same time he doesn't showcase that accuracy consistently. Watson is money when he has time in the pocket and nobody is open in coverage. He does struggle firing the ball into tight windows and can check down from time to time.
- Watson has the best footwork of any quarterback in this draft. He's probably the only signal-caller that can effectively make throws with 1 step, 3 step, 5 step, or 7 step throws while in the pocket or throwing on the run.
- The biggest pro in Watson's game is his scrambling ability. He scrambles like Michael Vick. He struggles with progressions though as there were six different plays on tape against Florida State in 2015 where he took off and ran with an open receiver like Robert Griffin III. That's why comparing him to Vince Young coming out of Texas with more discipline is ideal.
- Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina Projected Round 2nd Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-3 220 lb Mitchell Trubisky took over for Marquise Williams in 2016. Not much was expected of Mitch Trubisky, but he dominated as a starter in a lot games on tape.
- Mitchell Trubisky had3,748 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 308 rushing yards, 5 rushing touchdowns, 4,056 total yards, 35 total touchdowns, a 68.2 completion percentage, and 6 interceptions in 2016. Trubisky dominated in the air and on the ground in 2016.
- Trubisky dominated against James Madison, Pittsburgh, Florida State, Miami FL, Virginia, and Georgia Tech on tape. He really did good in those games throwing 18 passing touchdowns and no interceptions in those 6 starts where North Carolina went 6-0 during those 6 games.
- Trubisky had 3 games with multiple interceptions against Virginia Tech in the rain, Duke, and Stanford in the 2016 Sun Bowl. Trubisky played turnover free football in his other 10 starts.
- Trubisky showed he has a slow windup and release despite posting mind boggling numbers on tape. Trubisky's comletion percentage is much higher when he has time in the pocket and he does not react well under pressure despite having good arm strength and throwing power along with the short and medium accuracy you look for in a franchise quarterback. Trubisky does not have the consistent deep ball accuracy that a lot of scouts look for.
- Mitchell Trubisky plays in a pro style offense. At the same time he had an excellent offensive line with Caleb Peterson at left guard, Lucas Crowley at center, and Jon Heck at right tackle along with Elijah Hood at running back. Having those guys around him on offense made his job one easier.
- Mitchell Trubisky can play in a balanced run first offense, a shotgun spread offense, or a west coast offense. Mitchell Trubisky will fail if you put him in an offense that requires a vertical passing game or has a poor offensive line because his wind up is terrible and he holds on to the football for too long.
- Trubisky ony has one year as a college starter on tape. He has an excellent football IQ for a quarterback. Despite these evident flaws on tape many consider Trubisky to be the top quarterback in the 2017 NFL Draft despite these obvious cons to his game because Trubisky has the eye-popping stats and production that you look for on tape, but he lacks the quick release, the mechanics, and delivery that you look for in a franchise quarterback.
Mitchell Trubisky SWOT Report
- Strengths: Mitchell Trubisky does an effective job throwing slants. I like his footwork and physical tools. He has good arm strength and size and has the best physical tools I've seen from a quarterback since Andrew Luck. Possesses the mind boggling statistics that Kizer lacked on tape with over 3,500 passing yards.
- Weaknesses: From a mental standpoint, I don't see why people are hyping up Trubisky. I mean his wind up sucks. He holds onto the ball for too long. His nickname Mr. Biscuit sounds like a rejected video game character that Sega Genesis turned down. He slouched and put his feet up on a chair when Jared Goff tried to speak to him. He forgot to draw the quarterback, the position he plays when calling a play on Game Changers. Trubisky has so many flaws, that Cinema Sins could do an Everything Wrong With Mitchell Trubisky prospect video and it would be fun to watch.
- Opportunities: 34 San Francisco 49ers, 36. Chicago Bears, 39. New York Jets, 59. Kansas City Chiefs, and 65. Cleveland Browns. I have Trubisky as a third round prospect on my draft board, but with the demand for a quarterback along with the hype that Trubisky has received its hard to see him falling out of the first two rounds of the 2017 NFL Draft.
- Threats: Mitchell Trubisky is a one year starter. That concerns me.
- Mitch Trubisky played in a spread offense. He hasn't played quarterback in a Pro Style offense since 6th grade.
- Trubisky will take over at quarterback in 2016. Trubisky needs a mind boggling year if he wants to get drafted in the first round.
- Davis Webb, QB, California Projected Round 3rd Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-4 229 lb Davis Webb has the arm strength to be a solid backup in the NFL. He isn't as accurate as Jared Goff, but his physical tools in terms of arm strength and accuracy are superior to Goff's. I'm interested to see how Patrick Mahomes former backup does transferring to California.
- Davis Webb has 3,601 passing yards, 33 passing touchdowns, 61.4 completion percentage, and 12 interceptions in his first season as a starter in 2016. Davis Webb already accepted an invite to the 2017 Senior Bowl in Mobile, Alabama. Webb is the only quarterback with a Senior Bowl invite that stood out on tape which does help him get drafted in the first four rounds and gives him a window of opportunity to potentially become a day 2 pick despite being a one-year starter at California.
Davis Webb SWOT Report
- Strengths: Davis Webb has great physical tools. He has better arm strength and size than Jared Goff. The fact that he's done exceptionally well in the interview process has helped him. Webb is a natural at keeping his cool under pressure when the blitz is in his face. Webb was also MVP of the 2017 Senior Bowl.
- Weaknesses: Davis Webb overthrows passes. He struggles to recognize coverages and that hurts Webb limiting his ceiling to a backup role. Webb possesses inconsistent velocity and accuracy. Fails to anticipate where cornerbacks are. Webb struggles to manipulate the opposing safety with his eyes.
- Opportunities: 65. Cleveland Browns. I heard the Browns have a first round grade on Webb having him around 28 on their draft board behind Mahomes and ahead of Trubisky. I have the Browns taking Webb at 65 as a developmental quarterback.
- Threats: Davis Webb is a one year starter. That concerns me. That concerns me. I do not believe he has the mental skill set Jared Goff had at California which is why I see him as a backup at best.
- The former backup to Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes is transferring to California. Webb has a good arm and the ideal size to be a pocket quarterback.
- Nate Peterman, QB, Pittsburgh Projected Round 3rd Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-2 225 lb Nate Peterman had 2,855 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, 286 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 3,111 total yards, 30 total touchdowns, 60.5 completion percentage, and 7 interceptions. Peterman played well enough to accept an invite to the 2017 Senior Bowl in Mobile, Alabama.
- Nate Peterman showed the throwing power, short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep accuracy. Peterman has most of the tools you look for in a starting quarterback. The one thing Peterman struggles with is reading progressions. Think Derek Carr without the ability to read progressions.
- Peterman dominated in Mobile. He has the intangibles to start in the NFL. Peterman just needs to learn how to read progressions. Everything else is there.
Nate Peterman SWOT Report
- Strengths: Nate Peterman has great physical tools. He has the short, medium, and deep accuracy to be a starting quarterback in the NFL. His big hands and natural delivery with his sound mechanics make him an intriguing project and a reliable backup.
- Weaknesses: Nate Peterman's one issue was his ability to read progressions which was a weakness during the Senior Bowl. This flaw in Peterman's game was masked during Senior Bowl practices. Peterman also has trouble firing the ball into tight windows. Transferred from Tennessee to Pittsburgh, but showed a better week in Mobile than Dobbs.
- Opportunities: I'm not sure where Peterman goes. I have the Saints taking him at 76 at the moment.
- Threats: Nate Peterman has more upside than Brad Kaaya, Davis Webb, or Mitchell Trubisky. He hasn't interviewed as well as Webb and he was Dobbs backup for two years before transferring to Pittsburgh. Worst case scenario you are getting a career backup like Drew Stanton. Best case scenario, you get a quarterback with similar skills to Derrick Carr in the third round of the 2017 NFL Draft.
- Nate Peterman was a backup to Joshua Dobbs at Tennessee. He's shown the ability to play in a shotgun spread offense, west coast offense, a balanced run first offense, or a vertical offense.
- Brad Kaaya, QB, Miami FL Projected Round 4th Round
- 2016 Season Recap Many expect the 6-4 215 lb Brad Kaaya to not only challenge Deshaun Watson for the top quarterback in the ACC, but also possibly the 2017 NFL Draft under Mark Richt's new Pro Style offense at Miami FL that Matthew Stafford mastered when Richt first got to Georgia. I see Kaaya as a bust that has second round talent that may get pushed back into the late first round.
- Brad Kaaya went 12/18 with 135 passing yards, 4 passing touchdowns, and no interceptions in Miami FL's opener. Kaaya needs to continue to produce like this against tougher opponents if he wants to sneak into the first round.
- Brad Kaaya was horrendous against Florida Atlantic with no touchdowns and 2 interceptions. I had Kaaya as a second round pick before this game, but now I want to move Kaaya dowon to the third round despite Miami's 2-0 start. Kaaya's 59.2 completion percentage trumps Deshaun Watson's 52.9 completion percentage.
- Kaaya had 326 passing yards against Appalachin State. Kaaya did injure his left knee against Appalachian State. Kaaya showed he was a better prospect than Joshua Dobbs in this game.
- Brad Kaaya did a great job reading progressions and bailing his offensive line out against Georgia Tech. Kaaya started strong against Florida State, but failed to deliver that final punch once Florida State trailed 10-0 and Miami FL had the ball. Kaaya does not have the arm strength NFL teams look for. Kaaya still has issues with putting too much velocity on short passes, under throwing medium passes, and overthrowing deep passes.
- Kaaya played turnover free football against a Pittsburgh team that Deshaun Watson threw 3 interceptions against the same defense Kaaya avoided turnovers against. Kaaya's linemen have missed blocks and Kaaya is still making quality throws. Kaaya is a project, but would be a perfect fit for a team that wants to groom a quarterback in the third round. If the Buffalo Bills waited until the third round, Brad Kaaya could start there right away even if the team released Tyrod Taylor.
- Brad Kaaya dominated down the stretch though. He had 4 passing touchdowns and no interceptions in his bowl game against a quality West Virginia secondary led by cornerback Rasul Douglas. Kaaya reached the 3,500 passing yard mark for the first time in his career while throwing only 7 interceptions. He got hot at the right time surpassing every Miami Hurricanes quarterback for passing yards in school history while being voted team captain.
- I had a lot of reservations and doubts about Brad Kaaya heading into the season. I even called him the most overhyped quarterback back in August when scouts were salivating over him, but Kaaya is actually someone I'm really starting to see as a potential franchise quarterback if he goes to a team like New Orleans to learn under Drew Brees for a few years.
- Once teams moved Kaaya off their boards in the first round he played with more intensity as the season progressed. Kaaya can succeed if he goes to a team that grooms him to be the quarterback of the future. At the same time there is a good chance Kaaya busts if a team starts him right away.
Brad Kaaya SWOT Report
- Strengths: Brad Kaaya has the velocity, throwing, power, arm strength, and size to be a starting quarterback. Kaaya has a quick release and he's more accurate than Mitchell Trubisky.
- Weaknesses: Kaaya's accuracy may be better than Trubisky's, but he still sucks on tape when making accurate throws. Kaaya needs to go to the right team where he can develop behind a veteran quarterback for a few years.
- Opportunities: I'm not sure where Kaaya goes. I have a fourth round grade on Kaaya at the moment.
- Threats: I don't see any threats with Brad Kaaya. Kaaya was the top High School and was the top recruit in 2014 edging out Deshaun Watson, but hasn't lived up to the hype until this season in 2016.
- Brad Kaaya started right away at Miami FL after being the top High School quarterback recruit over Deshaun Watson in the class of 2014. Kaaya had 3,198 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and a 58.5 completion percentage as a true freshman in 2014.
- Kaaya showed the ability to operate a shotgun spread offense, a vertical offense, a balanced run first offense, and a West Coast offense at Miami FL during his two seasons with the Hurricanes at Miami FL. Kaaya had 3,238 passing yards, 16 passing touchdowns, and 5 interceptions in 2015.
- Kaaya is a pure pocket quarterback. He cannot use his scrambling and mobility move on the run like Watson or Mahomes. Kaaya may be the most consistent quarterback in terms of passing yards with back-to-back seasons of over 3,000 passing yards. Kaaya is not a guy who has had a season that has wowed scouts with 3,500 passing yards or 35 passing touchdowns which is why I have questions about him succeeding in the NFL.
- It's not just that. Kaaya overthrows his receivers on tape. He reacts poorly under pressure. Not having the mobility to play quarterback and being a sitting duck in the pocket severely limits his ability as a quarterback in the NFL.
- Joshua Dobbs, QB, Tennessee Projected Round 6th Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-3 216 lb Joshua Dobbs enters his senior season at Tennessee. Dobbs is finally looking for a breakout season. Dobbs will major in Aerospace Engineering and seems like an ideal candidate to play in the 2017 Senior Bowl in Mobile, Alabama.
- Dobbs stepped up in the fourth quarter when it mattered. He struggled with the deep ball on a lot of his throws outside of his lone touchdown pass to Josh Malone against Appalachian State. I'm moving Dobbs down to a fourth round prospect since Dobbs failed to impress me on tape.
- Dobbs had less than 100 passing yards against Virginia Tech. Dobbs had over 100 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns on the Hokie sshowing great duel threat ability.
- Dobbs had 203 passing yards against Ohio. Dobbs had his best game of the season as a passer, but you still expect him to do more. Dobbs gets his first test against Florida.
- Dobbs had 319 passing yards against Florida despite beginning the game 1/7. Two of the touchdowns Dobbs threw came when Jalen Tabor was injured. That's something to take into account. Dobbs also had 80 rushing yards and 1 rushing touchdown against the Florida Gators finishing the game with 399 total yards, 4 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, and 5 total touchdowns despite throwing 2 interceptions in the first half.
- Dobbs threw a clutch hail mary as time ran out for Tennessee to defeat Georgia. Dobbs threw for 398 passing yards despite losing to Texas A&M in double overtime. Texas A&M's defense forced Dobbs to have 1 passing touchdown and 2 interceptions including an interception in double overtime that handed Tennessee their first loss. Tennessee faces Alabama this week.
- Dobbs is still a day 3 pick because he didn't cease an opportunity to move up the draft boards, but I love the passion he's played with the past few weeks. Dobbs has 1,433 passing yards, 14 passing touchdowns, 324 rushing yards, 5 rushing touchdowns, 19 total touchdowns, 58.3 completion percentage, and 8 interceptions in 2016. Dobbs has corrected his weakness with not throwing enough deep passes downfield, but he still throws into coverage quite a bit.
- Dobbs had 91 passing yards and -31 rushing yards against Alabama. Dobbs has a great mind and football IQ off the field, but he has to dominate in the Senior Bowl otherwise he will end up as a third stringer.
- Joshua Dobbs finished the season in impressive fashion with 2,946 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, 831 rushing yards, 3,777 total yards, 12 rushing touchdowns, 38 total touchdowns, 63.0 completion percentage, and 12 interceptions in 2016. Dobbs also accepted an invite to the 2017 Senior Bowl in Mobile, Alabama. I'm interested to see how Dobbs operates an NFL offense under Head Coach Hue Jackson with Davis Webb playing for John Fox on the North team.
Joshua Dobbs SWOT Report
- Strengths: Possesses the mental toughness you look for in a quarterback. He can be a duel threat and has good deep ball accuracy.
- Weaknesses: Dobbs deep ball accuracy was an issue. Takes too long to release the football. Kind of reminds of Byron Leftwich with his release and that may limit him to a backup role.
- Opportunities: I'm not sure where Dobbs goes. I have a sixth round grade on Dobbs at the moment.
- Threats: I don't see any threats with Joshua Dobbs. Dobbs struggled in Mobile, but made up for it with strong performances at the 2017 NFL Combine along with a strong Pro Day at Tennessee. Dobbs could be a starter like Tyrod Taylor if he remains a backup for the team that drafted him like Tyrod Taylor did.
- Joshua Dobbs barely did anything as a true freshman in 2013. Dobbs 1,206 passing yards, 9 passing touchdowns, 6 interceptions, and a career high 63.3 completion percentage as a true sophomore.
- Dobbs had a mixed season in 2015 showing the ability to operate a shotgun spread offense, a vertical offense, a balanced run first offense with Jalen Hurd, and a West Coast offense under center in 2015. Like Patrick Mahomes and Brad Kaaya, Joshua Dobbs has an extremely high football IQ.
- Dobbs had 2,291 passing yards, 15 passing touchdowns, 11 rushing touchdowns, 26 total touchdowns, and 5 interceptions while posting a 59.6 completion percentage in 2015. Dobbs has to show he can throw for 3,500 passing yards, 35 passing touchdowns, rush for 10 rushing touchdowns, and throw under 10 interceptions in 2016 before dominating the 2017 Senior Bowl if his draft stock is to make any splash.
- Dobbs has ok short and medium accuracy. It's the deep ball accuracy in the deep passing game that concerns me. In three games on tape against Florida, Alabama, and Northwestern, Dobbs went 3/12 when throwing deep passes with his deep accuracy. This is a huge concern as that may limit his ability in a vertical offense.
- Jerod Evans, QB, Virginia Tech Projected Round 6th Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-4 235 lb Jerod Evans is a JUCO transfer that entered Virginia Tech's season as a first year starter making an immediate contribution. Evans had exceptional statistics for a first round quarterback.
- Jerod Evans had 3,552 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns, 846 rushing yards, 12 rushing touchdowns, 4,398 total yards, 41 total touchdowns, a 63.5 completion percentage, and 8 interceptions. Evans had the statistics you look for in a starting quarterback. Everyone knows there is way more to a starting quarterback than statistics.
- Like Luke Falk the only offense he runs is a shotgun spread offense. He doesn't call any west coast plays, any vertical plays, or any balanced run first plays.
- Evans has excellent arm strength and mobility showing flashes of Colin Kaepernick at times with his physical tools. He avoided any turnovers in the Bristol Motor Speedway game against Tennessee. His decision making is much better than Logan Thomas, but his accuracy is worse than Marcus Vick the little brother of Michael Vick when watching his tape.
- Evans underthrew and overthrew receivers constantly. He made multiple mistakes in his Bowl game against Arkansas yet when Arkansas led 24-0 he helped Virginia Tech go on a 35-0 run demonstrating excellent leadership for a first-year quarterback.
- Jerod Evans can develop into a successful starter if you leave him on the bench as a backup for four years and let his rookie contract play out. Otherwise Evans will probably crash and burn having a very brief career in the NFL.
Jerod Evans SWOT Report
- Strengths: Has the arm strength and size you look for in a quarterback. Can make a lot of NFL throws with his arm strength, size, throwing power, and velocity.
- Weaknesses: Accuracy is a huge issue with Jerod Evans. Even though Evans had mind boggling statistics, Evans had trouble throwing into coverage.
- Opportunities: I'm not sure where Evans goes. I have a sixth round grade on Evans at the moment.
- Threats: Jerod Evans is a one year starter at Virginia Tech. He looks extremely raw on tape from what I've seen from him.
- Jerod Evans averaged 395.5 passing yards per game at Trinity Community College with 38 passing touchdowns. That led to Evans being a four star recruit at quarterback and the top JUCO prospect in the class of 2016. Most JUCO transfers get a two or three star rating by schools that are recruiting players. Evans got a four star grade which is exceptional for a JUCO prospect that plays at Community College.
- There is no question that Jerod Evans is the best JUCO prospect since Aaron Rodgers. I'm more interested to see how he does at Virginia Tech in 2016 with Frank Beamer retiring.
- Chad Kelly, QB, Ole Miss Projected Round 7th Round
- 2016 Season Recap The 6-2 224 lb Chad Kelly really regrouped in 2015. Then his character issues came back in 2016. Kelly is playing in the 2017 Senior Bowl so if he recovers from his torn ACL injury he has a chance to save his stock. Kelly had some good games against Florida State and Alabama which is why he barely cracks the top 10 with every quarterback outside of Nate Peterman, Davis Webb, and Joshua Dobbs looking like an undrafted quarterback in Mobile.
Chad Kelly SWOT Report
- Strengths: Has the arm strength and size you look for in a quarterback. Can make a lot of NFL throws with his arm strength, size, throwing power, and velocity. Will wow you with throws at times.
- Weaknesses: Accuracy is a huge issue with Chad Kelly. Kelly didn't dominate in 2016 like he did in 2015.
- Opportunities: I'm not sure where Kelly goes. I have a seventh round grade on Kelly at the moment.
- Threats: Chad Kelly won't be able to throw until after the NFL Draft after getting injured at his Pro Day. Not only does Kelly have durability issues, but the character issues he had at Clemson resurfaced at Ole Miss in 2016 after a dominant 2015 season. Kelly entered the year as a second round prospect and is now on the brink of going undrafted.
- Chad Kelly was the backup to Deshaun Watson at Clemson. He got dismissed from Clemson and transferred to Ole Miss. The nephew of Jim Kelly had 4,042 passing yards, 31 passing touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Kelly needs to make better throws into coverage and mature as a leader in 2016 if he wants to sneak into the first round.