2024 NFL Draft: Quarterback Rankings

Chris Ransom follow @DraftUtopia Last Updated: February 6, 2024.

Caleb Williams, QB, USC Projected Round Top 5 Pick

2023 Season Recap The 6-1 215 lb Caleb Williams had 3,633 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 136 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 3,769 total yards, 41 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 68.6% completion percentage in 12 games against San Jose State, Nevada, Stanford, Arizona State, Colorado, Arizona, Notre Dame, Utah, California, Washington, Oregon, and UCLA in 2023. Caleb Williams only had one bad game against one of the best defenses in the country against Notre Dame. That game may cost Caleb Williams a shot to win back-to-back Heisman Trophies, but he should still be favored to go first overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. People want to point how his awful completion percentages against Arizona and Oregon, but he still had more touchdowns than turnovers in those contests.

I posted a film cut of USC quarterback Caleb Williams VS San Jose State in week 0 on our Youtube Chanel. Feel free to check it out and let me know what you think.

Caleb Williams SWOT Report

Strengths: Caleb Williams won the 2022 Heisman Trophy. Does everything you want a quarterback to do on tape. Can make up to six progressions. Has the arm strength and throwing power. Displays the short, medium, and deep accuracy on tape. Outstanding field vision. His mind boggling season in 2022 where he had 4,537 passing yards, 42 passing touchdowns, 382 rushing yards, 10 rushing touchdowns, 4,919 total yards, 52 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 66.6% completion percentage stand out in 2022. Caleb Williams followed that up with 3,633 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 136 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 3,769 total yards, 41 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 68.6% completion percentage in 2023.

Possesses exceptional footwork. Can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step, and 7-step throws in the pocket. He's also incredible at throwing on the run. Can play in any type of offensive scheme whether it is a balance run first offesnse, a west coast offense, a vertical offense, or a shotgun spread offense. Teammates say he is special because of his work ethic, overall talent, leadership, and ability to be clutch. Excellent at firing the ball into tight windows. Caleb Williams has a super quick release at times where he can fire bullets when throwing with urgency. He literally checks off every box at quarterback.

Weaknesses: Caleb Williams overthrows some deep passes from time to time. Williams also holds onto the ball too long. He is prone to getting sacked when the pocket collapses as well as coverage sacks when nobody is open despite his duel threat ability. Caleb Williams has to identify quick reads better. You also want to see Caleb Williams work more efficently from structure. Caleb WIlliams also ended his season on a three game losing streak. Caleb Williams watched his quarterback rating regress slightly from fifth with a 86.5 quarterback rating in 2022 to eleventh with a 82.3 quarterback rating in 2023.

Opportunities: 1. Chicago Bears, 2. Washington Commanders, and 3. New England Patriots. I frankly do not see the Chicago Bears passing on Caleb Williams at 1. If Chicago goes a different route or trades down to another team, both the Washington Commanders and New England Patriots could consider a quarterback.

Threats: Caleb Williams told GQ he plays Call Of Duty everyday. If Arizona keeps Kyler Murray and ends up drafting Caleb Williams, the Cardinals will have two quarterbacks in their quarterback room that like to play Call Of Duty. Caleb Williams also painted Fuck NDxx on his fingernails in 2022. He can paint his fingernails, but saying fuck your opponent does show a lack of class and maturity on Caleb's end. He also got criticized for coddling his mother after a loss. He likes drinking Ginger Beer in his free time in addition to playing Uno, but he has no DUI"s, so I don't feel these concerns are dealbreakers. Despite these question marks, Williams does have the highest ceiling of any quarterback in the 2024 NFL Draft despite his talent and skill level.

Caleb Williams is my first quarterback since Trevor Lawrence to earn a maximum potential trade. I can see why people compare his playing style to NFL quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson. Realistically, he's got Kyler Murray's floor and the ceiling of Trevor Lawrence. I don't think Caleb Williams is on the same level as Patrick Mahomes in the NFL right now, but he probably has the best chance to win a Super Bowl among the quarterbacks in the 2024 NFL Draft. Both my colleague Wes Langley and my stock trading mentor compared Caleb Williams to Patrick Mahomes while others believe he's overhyped. Oren believes Caleb Williams will be a bust in the NFL. USC's track record with NFL quarterbacks isn't good, but Caleb Williams feels like an exception to the norm.

Potential Grade: 99/99

Before 2023

Caleb Williams was a five star recruit in High School. As a true freshman at Oklahoma, he took the starting quarterback job from Spencer Rattler finishing his freshman year with 1,912 passing yards, 21 passing touchdowns, 442 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns, 2,354 total yards, 27 total touchdowns, and 4 interceptions in 2021. Caleb Williams transffered to USC for his sophomore season where he had 4,537 passing yards, 42 passing touchdowns, 382 rushing yards, 10 rushing touchdowns, 4,919 total yards, 5 interceptions, and a 66.6% completion percentage in 2022.
Drake Maye, QB, North Caroina Projected Round Top 5 Pick

2023 Season Recap The 6-4 230 lb Drake Maye had 3,608 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 449 rushing yards, 9 rushing touchdowns, 4,057 total yards, 33 total touchdowns, 9 interceptions, and a 63.3% completion percentage through 12 games against South Carolina, Appalachian State, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Miami FL, Virginia, Georgia Tech, Campbell, Duke, Clemson, and North Carolina State in 2023.

I posted a Drake Maye film cut. Drake Maye looked great versus South Carolina.

Drake Maye SWOT Report

Strengths: Drake Maye was the 2022 ACC Player Of The Year. Does everything you want a quarterback to do on tape. Can make up to six progressions. Has the arm strength and throwing power. Displays the short, medium, and deep accuracy on tape. Outstanding field vision. His mind boggling season in 2022 where he had 4,321 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns, 698 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 5,019 total yards, 45 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 66.2% completion percentage stood out in 2022. Drake Maye had 3,608 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 449 rushing yards, 9 rushing touchdowns, 4,057 total yards, 33 total touchdowns, 9 interceptions, and a 63.3% completion percentage in 2023.

Possesses exceptional footwork. Can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step, and 7-step throws in the pocket. He's also incredible at throwing on the run. Can play in any type of offensive scheme whether it is a balance run first offesnse, a west coast offense, a vertical offense, or a shotgun spread offense. Teammates say he is special because of his work ethic, overall talent, leadership, and ability to be clutch. He literally checks off every box at quarterback.

Weaknesses: Drake Maye needs to be more decisive as Matt Waldman did a great job breaking down a play where Maye should have fired a screen pass to the first guy he saw open which could have resulted in a 12 yard gain rather than a 2 yard gain because Maye went through all his progressions that were being covered before firing to his first target. Drake Maye also has a tendency to stare at defensive backs when firing into tight windows which leads to interceptions. He doesn't get sacked as much as Caleb Williams, but can get hit sometimes despite his duel threat ability. Drake Maye started 6-0, but went 2-4 down the stretch with his only wins against FCS school Campbell and rival school Duke where North Carolina defeated Duke in double overtime. Drake Maye's 78.8 quarterback rating ranked fourteenth in the FBS. That's good by college football standards, but is slightly underwhelming by NFL standards for a player that is a consensus top 2 draft pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Opportunities: 1. Chicago Bears, 2. Washington Commanders, and 3. New England Patriots. Drake Maye is only 21-years-old while Caleb Williams is 22-years-old. This is the only reason why I believe Maye has a shot to go first overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Drake Maye is a strong candidate to go second overall in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Threats: Drake Maye really doesn't have any threats as he has a higher floor than Caleb Willams. If you want to knock him for eating belgain waffles for breakfast which I saw on a North Carolina football special on ACC Network, that's just a low blow that I won't stand for since I enjoy belgain waffles myself. You can make that stance with offensive linemen, edge rushers, cornerbacks, and wide receivers since you want those skill positions eating protein for breakfast, but I don't think eating a belgain waffle is a detriment to playing quarterback in the NFL and will not listen to other arguments, since those arguments seem like nonsense. Outside of Caleb Williams, Drake Maye looks like the one quarterback that could be a sure thing in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Potential Grade: 98/99

Before 2023

Drake Maye redshirted in 2021 when Sam Howell was draft elgible for the 2022 NFL Draft. Drake Maye had 4,321 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns, 698 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 5,019 total yards, 45 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 66.2% completion percentage in 2022.
Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU Projected Round Top 5 Pick

2023 Season Recap The 6-4 210 lb Jayden Daniels had 3,812 passing yards, 40 passing touchdowns, 885 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 4,797 total yards, 51 total touchdowns, 4 interceptions, a 72.12 completion percentage, and a FBS best 95.7 quarterback rating which was best in the FBS in 12 games against Florida State, Grambling, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Missouri, Auburn, Army, Alabama, Florida, Georgia State, and Texas A&M in 2023. Jayden Daniels ended the year winning the 2023 Heisman Trophy.

I posted a Jayden Daniels film cut. Jayden Daniels looked great versus Alabama.

Jayden Daniels SWOT Report

Strengths: Jayden Daniels has the arm strength, throwing power, velocity, athleticism as a duel threat quarterback, and competitive toughness that NFL teams are looking for. Displays the short, medium, and deep accuracy on tape. Jayden Daniels can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step drops, and 7-step drops. Jayden Daniels was making up to 3-5 progressions on tape against Mississippi State out of 6. Jayden Daniels made 4 progressions against Alabama out of 6. Jayden Daniels turned a 7-step drop into a 50 yard scramble against Alabama. Was in the LSU team facility for 90 to 100 hours a week, watching film, doing extra practice, and tutoring teammates on homework. Has a work ethic similar to Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts to make up for not being able to read all 6 progressions at the moment. Jayden Daniels will dominate in a shotgun spread offense or a vertical offense due to his elite deep ball accuracy. He's got the relentless work ethic to refine his 7-step drop and develop 5 progressions as well as 6 progressions in the NFL. The only other LSU athletes with a similar work ethic to Jayden Daniels were Paul Skenes and Dylan Crews, the first two picks in the 2023 MLB Draft.

Weaknesses: Jayden Daniels only made 1-2 progressions when reading a defense against Florida State as the Florida State game did hurt his stock in the short term. Jayden Daniels improved that to 4/6 progressions. I've seen Daniels make 7-step drops when scrambling, but not passing. The only offensive schemes that Jayden Daniels knows are the shotgun spread offense and the vertical offense. Jayden Daniels has to show me he can run a balanced run first offense or a west coast offense under center when he goes to the NFL. I'm not saying Daniels cannot do these things. I'm saying I have yet to see Daniels show me he can do these things.

Opportunities: 1. Chicago Bears, 2. Washington Commanders, 3. New England Patriots. Jayden Daniels probably isn't getting past the New England Patriots at 3.

Threats: The team that drafts Jayden Daniels has to play to his strengths in order for him to reach his massive ceiling. I do believe Jayden Daniels has the upside to be a blue chip prospect. There's a reason multiple people have said he's a special prospect. At the same time, if the team that drafts him runs a balanced run first offense or a west coast offense they won't be playing to Jayden Daniels strengths.

Potential Grade: 97/99

Before 2023

Jayden Daniels had 13 touchdowns in a High School Football game prior to enrolling in College. Jayden Daniels was a two year starter at Arizona State in 2020 and 2021 showing quite a bit of potential right out of the gate with Arizona State. He transferred to LSU in 2022 and led the LSU Tigers to an SEC Championship appearance with former Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly in Jayden Daniels first year at quarterback with the LSU Tigers after leaving Arizona State. A signature year in 2023 could get Jayden Daniels picked by an NFL team.
J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan Projected Round Top 10 Pick

2023 Season Recap The 6-3 202 lb J.J. McCarthy had 2,991 passing yards, 22 passing touchdowns, 202 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 3,193 total yards, 25 total touchdowns, 3 interceptions, a 72.3% completion percentage, and a 89.2 quarterback rating which was third in the FBS in 15 games against East Carolina, UNLV, Bowling Green, Rutgers, Nebraska, Minnesota, Indiana, Michigan State, Purdue, Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, Iowa, Alabama, and Washington in 2023. J.J. McCarthy went 26-1 in two years as Michigan's starting quarterback.

I posted a J.J. McCarthy film cut. J.J. McCarthy looked reliable versus Ohio State.

J.J. McCarthy SWOT Report

Strengths: J.J. McCarthy has a lot of toughness especially as a former hockey player. Can make up to six progressions. Has the arm strength and throwing power. Displays the short, medium, and deep accuracy on tape.

Possesses exceptional footwork. Can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step, and 7-step throws in the pocket. He's also incredible at throwing on the run. Can play in any type of offensive scheme whether it is a balance run first offesnse, a west coast offense, a vertical offense, or a shotgun spread offense. Teammates say he is special because of his work ethic, overall talent, leadership, and ability to be clutch. His 88.2 quarterback rating in 2023 stands out. Michigan Head Coach Jim Harbaugh compared J.J. McCarthy to his former Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck, but I don't see that from McCarthy yet. He reminds me of Josh Allen as a runner when scrambling, but doesn't quite remind me of Allen as a passer.

Weaknesses: J.J. McCarthy's field vision is up and down despite his ability to make all six progressions and complete a pass on some throws. Has games where he can be a turnover machine like the game against TCU in last years College Football Playoff when Michigan went 12-0 as well as last weeks game against BYU where he threw three interceptions. J.J. McCarthy is prone to giving up a coverage sack if you cover all of his receivers and force him to take off and run. J.J. McCarthy didn't reach 3,000 passing yards in either season at Michigan and you want your quarterback to reach 3,500 passing yards or total yards.

Opportunities: 7. Tennessee Titans, 8. Atlanta Falcons, 11. Minnesota Vikings, 12. Denver Broncos, and 13. Las Vegas Raiders. J.J. McCarthy has top 10 talent, but the big issue teams will have with McCarthy is that he didn't wow NFL teams consistently playing in a run heavy offense.

Threats: I think J.J. McCarthy's hand size is on par with both Kenny Pickett and Jared Goff. It's too early to say if this is true or not. It's just a hunch. I also get a Zach Wilson vibe with J.J. McCarthy for some reason, but I cannot exactly put my finger on why that is the case. J.J. McCarthy feels like a boom or bust quarterback. The people that think he busts say he's worse than Zach Wilson or watching him is like watching paint dry. The people that think he will boom still have him as the third best quarterback just like I did back in October. I still think J.J. McCarthy has the upside to develop into a blue chip quarterback. He's raw, but he checks off so many boxes from an intangibles standpoint. He's also the youngest quarterback in the entire 2024 NFL Draft.

Potential Grade: 96/99

Before 2023

J.J. McCarthy took over as the starting quarterback supplating Cade McNamarra in 2022. J.J. McCarthy had 2,710 passing yards, 22 passing touchdowns, 306 rushing yards, 5 rushing touchdowns, 3,016 total yards, 27 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 64.6% completion percentage in 2022. J.J. McCarthy led Michigan to an undefeated regular season in 2022, but TCU defeated Michigan in the first game of the 2022-2023 College Football Playoff.
Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington Projected Round 1st Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-2 212 lb Michael Penix Jr. was one of two quarterbacks at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl with a hand size above 10 inches with 10 3/8 inch hands. Michael Penix Jr. had 4,903 passing yards, 36 passing touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 8 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 4,906 total yards, 39 total touchdowns, a 65.1% completion percentage, and a 83.4 quarterback rating which was tenth in the FBS in 15 games against Boise State, Tulsa, Michigan State, California, Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State, Stanford, USC, Utah, Oregon State, Washington State, Oregon again in the final PAC 12 Championship, Texas, and Michigan in 2023. Michael Penix Jr. dominated in a majority of his games with Arizona State and the National Championship against Michigan being the only two games where he had more interceptions than touchdowns. Michael Penix Jr. was the 2023 Heisman Runner Up. Michael Penix Jr. also won the 2023 Maxwell Award for the best quarterback in College Football.

I posted a Michael Penix Jr. film cut. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 300 passing yards in every game this season as he kept his 300 passing yards streak alive with 302 passing yards versus Oregon.

Michael Penix Jr. SWOT Report

Strengths: Has the arm strength and throwing power. Displays the short, medium, and deep accuracy on tape. Michael Penix Jr. can play in any type of offense whether it be a balanced run first offense, a west coast offense, a shotgun spread offense, or a vertical offense. Michael Penix Jr. has three receivers draft eligible for the 2024 NFL Draft, a tight end that's draft eligible, his running back, and a fourth wide receiver on Washigton that he threw to against Oregon. I believe he is capable of making up to all 6 progressions with the right supporting cast around him in the NFL.

Michael Penix Jr. threw for over 400 passing yards against Boise State, Tulsa, and Michigan State in his first three contests this year. He also threw for over 300 passing yards against California and Arizona. His 91.6 quarterback rating in 2023 stands out. Possesses exceptional footwork. Can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step, and 7-step throws in the pocket. He's also incredible at throwing on the run. Michael Penix Jr. only makes 5/6 progressions, but that's still pretty good when you consider how much talent he has. He is capable of making al six progressions with his supporting cast, but hasn't shown that yet.

Weaknesses: Michael Penix Jr. doesn't make all 6 progressions when diagnosing a defense. Overthrows targets at times. Plays more like a pocket quarterback than a duel threat. His football IQ and decision making can be inconsistent at times, but the raw talent is there in terms of his throwing power and throwing accuracy. Michael Penix Jr. has three NFL prospects at wide receiver, an NFL prospect at tight end, and two offensive tackles that look good enough to play in the NFL. While you can argue he's a product of his supporting cast, he hasn't played woefully bad yet in 2023. Michael Penix Jr. had 5 games where he completed less than 60 percent of his passes with those games being his first game against Oregon, Stanford, Utah, Washington State, and Michigan.

Opportunities: 11. Minnesota Vikings, 12. Denver Broncos, 13. Las Vegas Raiders, 16. Seattle Seahawks, and 20. Pittsburgh Steelers. Michael Penix Jr.'s game film shows a first round quarterback.

Threats: Michael Penix Jr. had durability concerns at Indiana. However, he's shown he can stay healthy at Washington after transferring to Washington to play football with one of his coaches who left Indiana for Washington. I gave Michael Penix Jr. the same potential grade as I gave C.J. Stroud last year, but that's subject to change based on his medicals at the 2024 NFL Combine.

Potential Grade: 93/99

Before 2023

Michael Penix Jr. started at Indiana from 2019-2021 during his freshman redshirt to junior redshirt seasons, but also got a fifth year of eligiblity due to Covid-19. Michael Penix Jr. had 4,641 passing yards, 31 passing touchdowns, 92 rushing yards, 4 rushing touchdowns, 4,733 total yards, 35 total touchdowns, 8 interceptions, and a 68.8% completion percentage in his first season at Washington in 2022. Michael Penix Jr. led Washington to a 2022 Alamo Bowl win over Texas where Washington defeated Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers whose the next quarterback in my rankings.
Bo Nix, QB, Oregon Projected Round 2nd Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-1 218 lb Bo Nix has 9 7/8 inch hands. Bo Nix had 4,508 passing yards, 45 passing touchdowns, 234 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns, 4,742 total yards, 51 total touchdowns, 3 interceptions, a 77.4% completion percentage, and a 91.0 quarterback rating in 14 starts against Portland State, Texas Tech, Hawaii, Colorado, Stanford, Washington, Washington State, Utah, California, USC, Arizona State, Oregon State, Washington in the PAC 12 Championship, and Liberty in the Fiesta Bowl. Bo Nix showed what may be the quickest release in the 2024 NFL Draft in Oregon's 42-6 statement win over Colorado before proceeding to defeat the same team that defeated Colorado 42-6. Bo Nix finished third in the 2023 Heisman Trophy race as a Heisman Trophy finalist.

I posted a film cut of Bo Nix VS Washington. Bo Nix is dependant on wide receiver Troy Franklin and Oregon running back Bucky Irving. You can watch the tape if you don't believe me because that's what the tape shows.

Bo Nix SWOT Report

Strengths: Displays the short, medium, and deep ball accuracy on tape. Can make 1-step, 3-step, and 5-step drops. Bo Nix can make up to 3 progressions and will give you 2 progressions at the very worst. He's got one of the five quickest releases arguably the quickest release through the first four games of the 2023 season. Bo Nix played in Oregon's Fiesta Bowl win versus Liberty. Bo Nix made up to 4 progressions on a completion to Ricky Pearsall at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl.

Bo Nix can play in a balanced run first offense or a shotgun spread offense. He might be able to transition to a west coast offense since short passes are his biggest strength despite not playing under center.

Weaknesses: Bo Nix will also struggle with 7-step drops despite having the skill set to make 1-step, 3-step, and 5-step drops. Running back Bucky Irving and wide receiver Troy Franklin made the big plays for Oregon in Oregon's 42-6 win over Colorado. Joey told me that he saw Bo Nix make up to 4 reads, but I haven't seen that on tape yet. Nix maxed out at 3/6 progressions despite his uber quick release. I also believe Nix will have problems firing deep passes into tight windows in the NFL even though his coaching staff at Oregon has masked this glaring weakness in his game. It's essentially the same problem Sam Ehlinger had coming out of Texas, but not as severe since he's thrown 50 yard touchdown passes.

Opportunities: 39. New York Giants, 42. Minnesota Vikings, 43. Atlanta Falcons, 44. Las Vegas Raiders and 57. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Bo Nix will get picked somewhere in the second round. There's a chance Bo Nix sneaks into the first round.

Threats: Oregon's coaching staff is masking a lot of weaknesses with Bo Nix. He's been quick, accurate, and decisive in 2023. He hasn't wowed me with arm strength or progressions which leads me to believe he has a limited ceiling. He's a low end starter with an outside shot to develop into a high end starter, but he's not a quarterback with the ceiling to be a Pro Bowl quarterback which is why I got a second round gradde on him.

Potential Grade: 88/99

Before 2023

Bo Nix started at Auburn as a true freshman where he defeated Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert in his first career NCAA start. Bo Nix struggled in his first three seasons at Auburn despite Nix defeating Herbert. Bo Nix turned the corner when he transferred to Oregon in 2022.

Bo Nix had 3,593 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns, 510 rushing yards, 14 rushing touchdowns, 4,103 total yards, 43 total touchdowns, 7 interceptions, and a 71.9% completion percentage in 2022. Bo Nix had eye popping production from a statistics standpoint, but I think he's closer to Mitchell Trubisky than Jared Goff from a production standpoint.
Spencer Rattler, QB, South Carolina Projected Round 3rd Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-0 219 lb Spencer Rattler has 9 3/4 inch hands. Spencer Rattler had 3,186 passing yards, 19 passing touchdowns, 104 rushing yards, 4 rushing touchdowns, 3,290 total yards, 23 total touchdowns, 8 interceptions, and a 68.9% completion percentage in 12 games against North Carolina, Furman, Georgia, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Florida, Missouri, Texas A&M, Jacksonville State, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and Clemson in 2023. Spencer Rattler had a signature game against Georgia showing the ability to make up to 5 progressions against Georgia with South Carolina leading at halftime in Athens, Georgia before Georgia rallied in the second half.

Spencer Rattler was also the MVP of the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl going 4/4 65 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, and no interceptions or incompletions. Spencer Rattler was the first quarterback on the losing team to win MVP since Justin Herbert in 2020 and also the first quarterback to not throw an incomplete pass in the Senior Bowl game since Kenny Pickett back in the 2022 Reese's Senior Bowl.

I posted a film cut of Spencer Rattler VS North Carolina. Spencer Rattler exceeded 300 passing yards, but didn't throw a touchdown or interception. In Rattler's defense he had a freshman left tackle filling in for an injured starter and the backup right tackle came in for an injured starter. Spencer Rattler had to play with two backup offensive tackles which explains the 9 sacks he took in this game. There were some big time throws as well as missed reads on some of the sacks with his best wide receiver Xavier Legette open 8 times.

Spencer Rattler SWOT Report

Strengths: Spencer Rattler has an exceptonal arm. Has the arm strength, throwing power, and velocity to throw it deep. Spencer Rattler can throw on the run and can fire the ball into any window. His accuracy, decision making, and mental processing has gotten a lot better in 2023 to the point where he finally showed enough potential after being a five star quarterback coming out of High School.

Spencer Rattler can make 1-step, 3-step, and 5-step throws. Spencer Rattler can thrive in a shotgun spread offense or a vertical offense. Spencer Rattler showed he could make 5/6 progressions.

Weaknesses: He still misses reads on tape and doesn't always turn his head when his wide receivers are open. His short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep ball accuracy still needs to become more consistent despite vastly improving during his senior season. Doesn't always keep his feet straight when dropping back. Footwork is still an area of improvement. He's going to struggle with 7-step drops despite being efficient on 1-step, 3-step, and 5-step throws.

He's overthrown some deep passes on tape despite making big plays on film. Overthrowing those passes prevented South Carolina from scoring against North Carolina. Spencer Rattler also lost the starting quarterback job to Caleb Williams at Oklahoma. Rattler has learned a lot between his time at Oklahoma and his time at South Carolina.

His only games with over 300 passing yards came against North Carolina, Furman, Florida, Jacksonville State, and Vanderbilt. Rattler's five games where he dominated all came against weaker teams.

Opportunities: 70. New York Giants, 72. New York Jets, 74. Atlanta Falcons, 76. Denver Broncos and 77. Las Vegas Raiders. Spencer Rattler will get picked somewhere in the top half of the third round.

Threats: I don't see Spencer Rattler having success in a balanced run first offense or a west coast offense. Spencer Rattler will have to go to a team that runs a shotgun spread offense or a vertical offense. The team that drafts him will also have to be patient with him. Rattler does have the upside to be an NFL starter, but I wonder if he has the processing between the ears to succeed at the next level. The more I watch Rattler, the more I think he can overcome the odds and stigma stacked against him.

Spencer Rattler can make 5/6 progressions which is more than what Michael Pratt or Jordan Travis can do. Rattler has potential to develop into a starter, but the odds o him reaching that ceiling and becoming an above average starter are low unless his decision making takes a leap once he gets to the NFL. It is possible for Spencer Rattler to be a good starting quarterback in the NFL.

Potential Grade: 87/99

Before 2023

Spencer Rattler was a five star recruit in High School. Spencer Rattler redshirted behind Jalen Hurts in 2019. Rattler took over for Hurts as a freshman redshirt where he had 3,031 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns, 7 interceptions, and a 67.5% completion percentage in his first year as a starter which is still a career best for Rattler in 2020. He led Oklahoma to an undefeated start before geting benched for Caleb Williams who rallied Oklahoma to a comeback win hte Red River Shootout as a sophomore redshirt in 2021. Spencer Rattler transferred to South Carolina having 3,026 passing yards, 18 passing touchdowns, and 12 interceptions in 2022.
Sam Hartman, QB, Notre Dame Projected Round 3rd Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-1 209 lb Sam Hartman has 9 5/8 inch hands. Sam Hartman had 2,689 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 123 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 2,812 total yards, 27 total touchdowns, 8 interceptions, an a 63.5% completion percentage in his lone season at Notre Dame so far in 12 games against Navy, Tennessee State, North Carolina State, Central Michigan, Ohio State, Duke, Louisville, USC, Pittsburgh, Clemson, Wake Forest, and Stanford in 2023.

I posted a film cut of Sam Hartman versus Ohio State. Sam Hartman managed the game well despite losing.

Sam Hartman SWOT Report

Strengths: Sam Hartman can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step, and 7-step throws. He's got a good arm allows him to fire the ball into tight windows as he knows how to keep a defense on their toes. He can throw with short accuracy, medium accuracy, or deep accuracy. Sam Hartman can play in any type of offense whether it be a balanced run first offense, a west coast offense, a shotgun spread offense, or a vertical offense. Can make 5/6 progressions. Can stay in the pocket or scramble as a duel threat. Sam Hartman is great at mentally processing information.

Weaknesses: Sam Hartman could only read 2 progressions in 2021 when he took Wake Forest to the ACC Championship. He showed he could improve that number to 3-4 progressions in 2022. He improved that to 5/6 progressions in 2023, but still doesn't read all six progressions. He has a good arm, but not a great arm. The brain fully develops once you turn 25 and Sam Hartman turns 25 about a month before next NFL season starts.

Opportunities: 72. New York Jets, 74. Atlanta Falcons, 76. Denver Broncos, 77. Las Vegas Raiders, and 78 Seattle Seahawks. I expect Sam Hartman to go somewhere in the top half of the third round.

Threats: Sam Hartman is already 24. There may be less room for development with him due to his age. He will turn 25 before the 2024 NFL Regular Season.

Potential Grade: 87/99

Before 2023

Sam Hartman had 4,228 paqssing yards, 39 passing touchdowns, 363 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 4,591 total yards, 50 total touchdowns, 14 interceptions, and a 58.9% completion percentage when taking Wake Forest to the 2021 ACC Championship in 2021. Sam Hartman had 3,701 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns, 129 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown, 3,830 total yards, 39 total touchdowns 12 interceptions, and a 63.1% completion percentage in 2022. Sam Hartman left Wake Forest and transferred to Notre Dame through the transfer portal.
Michael Pratt, QB, Tulane Projected Round 3rd Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-2 216 lb Michael Pratt has 9 inch hands. Michael Pratt had 2,406 passing yards, 22 passing touchdowns, 286 rushing yards, 5 rushing touchdowns, 2,692 total yards, 27 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 65.8% completion percentage in 2023. Michael Pratt started the season opener against South Alabama despite playing through a knee injury. Pratt sat out in weeks 2 and 3 before returning to full health against Nicholls in week 4 before leading Tulane to conference wins over UAB, Memphis, North Texas, Rice, East Carolina, Tulsa, Florida Atlantic, and UTSA before losing the 2023 AAC Championship to SMU. Michael Pratt was the 2023 AAC Player Of The Year.

Michael Pratt SWOT Report

Strengths: Displays the short, medium, and deep ball accuracy on tape. Can make 1-step, 3-step, and 5-step drops. Michael Pratt can make up to 3 progressions and will give you 2 progressions at the very worst.

Michael Pratt can play in a balanced run first offense, a shotgun spread offense, or a west coast offense. He can play in any offensive scheme except a vertical offense. Pratt can manage a game extremely efficiently. Tulane's captain has great leadership traits. Michael Pratt scrambled for a first down at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl. He's a pocket quarterback, but he can scramble when all of his targets are covered by the opposing defense.

Weaknesses: He's not someone who can read all six progressions. I do not think Michael Pratt has enough arm strength to play in a vertical offense despite having a good enough arm to play in the NFL. Needs to develop his 7-step drop.

Opportunities: 74. Atlanta Falcons, 76. Denver Broncos, 77. Las Vegas Raiders, 78 Seattle Seahawks and 83. Los Angeles Rams. Michael Pratt is one of two quarterbacks left on the board with a third round grade.

Threats: Michael Pratt is a safe quarterback with enough of a ceiling to become a borderline starter on an NFL team. Michael Pratt could develop into a low-end starter on the right NFL team.

Potential Grade: 86/99

Before 2023

Michael Pratt has started since his freshman season. Pratt was first on my radar in 2021 before Tyjae Spears when Tulane went 2-10. Pratt did well with 296 passing yards, 3 passing touchdowns, and no picks with a really weak supporting cast while Spears was injured in a loss to Oklahoma when facing Spencer Rattler.

Michael Pratt had 3,010 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, 478 rushing yards, 10 rushing touchdowns, 3,488 total yards, 37 total touchdowns, and a 63.6% completion percentage. Michael Pratt defeated USC quarterback Caleb Williams in the 2023 Cotton Bowl.
Jordan Travis, QB, Florida State Projected Round 3rd Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-1 212 lb Jordan Travis had 2,756 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 176 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 2,932 total yards, 27 total touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and a 63.9% completion percentage in 11 games against LSU, Southern Mississippi, Boston College, Clemson, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Duke, Wake Forest, Pittsburgh, Miami FL, and North Alabama before suffering a season ending injury in 2023. Jordan Travis is my final prospect with potential to develop into an NFL starter, but his medical concerns coming off a season ending injury could push Jordan Travis down to day 3.

Jordan Travis SWOT Report

Strengths: Jordan Travis can make 1-step, 3-step, 5-step, and 7-step throws. Jordan Travis can play in any type of offense whether it be a balanced run first offense, a west coast offense, a shotgun spread offense, or a vertical offense. He has the short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep accuracy you want in a quarterback. Jordan Travis can make 4/6 progressions. I've seen Jordan Travis complete passes in the pocket and throw on the run.

Weaknesses: You'd like to see Jordan Travis make up to all six progressions, but he's come a long way since starting. Jordan Travis shows a lack of hip rotation when leading his arm through extension. Using your hip rotation when leading the arm through hip extension maximizes throwing power and throwing accuracy. I haven't seen Travis maximize his hip extension yet and I'm starting to wonder if anyone can teach Travis this at the NFL level.

Opportunities: 76. Denver Broncos, 77. Las Vegas Raiders, 78 Seattle Seahawks, 83. Los Angeles Rams, and 84. Pittsburgh Steelers. I expect Jordan Travis to go somewhere in the third round.

Threats: Jordan Travis may be a product of his supporting cast. Having weapons in the passing game like wide receiver Keon Coleman, wide receiver Johnny Wilson, tight end Jaheim Bell, and running back Trey Benson has allowed Jordan Travis to thrive as a game manager. Robert Scott Jr. the left tackle on Florida State also has experience at right tackle giving Travis a competent blindside. Jordan Travis fix his his throwing motion and incorporate more of a hip rotation when getting ready to release his passes so he can maximize his velocity as well as his accuracy. Jordan Travis is coing off of a season ending injury in 2023 and you have to wonder how he checks out medically.

Potential Grade: 86/99

Before 2023

Jordan Travis began his college career at Louisville. Jordan Travis couldn't beat out Malik Cunningham for the starting quarterback job. When an opportunity to start at his dream school Florida State came up, he transferred to Florida State and has started there the last four years. He got an extra year of eligiibility due to Covid 19. Jordan Travis had 3,214 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, 417 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 3,631 total yards, 31 total touchdowns, 5 interceptions, and a 64% completion percentage in 2022.
Joe Milton, QB, Tennessee Projected Round 4th Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-5 235 lb Joe Milton was one of two quarterbacks at the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl with a hand size above 10 inches with 10 3/8 inch hands. Joe Milton had 2,813 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, 299 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 3,112 total yards, 27 total touchdowns, 4 interceptions, and a 64.7% completion percentage in 12 games against Virginia, Austin Peay, Florida, UTSA, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Alabama, Kentucky, Connecticut, Missouri, Georgia, and Vanderbilt.

Joe Milton SWOT Report

Strengths: Joe Milton has the best arm strength, throwing power, and velocity of any quarterback in the 2024 NFL Draft. Joe Milton can play in a shotgun spread offense, a vertical offense, or a balanced run first offense. Joe Milton has thrown completions 70-90 yards downfield in practice. He's the one quarterback in the NCAA that may have a better arm than Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen. Joe Milton beat out Hendon Hooker for the starting quarterback job at Tennessee in 2021 before he got injured against Pittsburgh and benched for Hendon Hooker shortly after that.

Weaknesses: Joe Milton has an incredible arm, but is a massive project everywhere else. His accuracy needs to improve on all ends with short, medium, and deep passes. His progressions and footwork also need refining. He only threw for 300 passing yards in the season finale against Vanderbilt whose considered a bottom feeder in the SEC. Joe Milton will do okay as a backup in any offensive scheme outside of a west coast offense.

Opportunities: I had a fourth round grade on Joe Milton. This is largely due to his arm talent.

Threats: My dad went to Tennessee and my mom actually watched the Texas A&M VS Tennessee game when I was watching Oregon VS Washington. I texted my mom to get intel on Joe Milton and her reply was not great. This pretty much assures me that Joe Milton is a day 3 prospect and a hard pass before the fourth round.

Potential Grade: 84/99

Before 2023

Joe Milton actually beat out Hendon Hooker for Tennessee's starting quarterback job in 2021. Joe Milton got injured against Pittsburgh at Neyland Stadium before losing the starting quarterback job to Hooker. With the Detroit Lions drafting Hendon Hooker in the 2023 NFL Draft, Joe Milton is now Tennessee's starting quarterback once again.
Gunnar Watson, QB, Troy Projected Round 5th Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-3 210 lb Gunnar Watson had 3,569 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, 28 total touchdowns, 6 interceptions, and a 61.0% completion percentage in 14 games against Stephen F. Austin, Kansas State, James Madison, Western Kentucky, Georgia State, Arkansas State, Army, Kentucky, Texas State, South Alabamai, Louisiana Monroe, Southern Mississippi, Appalachian State and Duke.

Gunnar Watson SWOT Report

Strengths: Gunnar Watson can play in a shotgun spread offense, a vertical offense, a balanced run first offense, or a west coast offense. Gunnar Watson can play in any offensive scheme. Led Troy to back-to-back Sun Belt Championships. Can make 1-step, 3-step, and 5-step drops.

Weaknesses: Had -106 rushing yards at Troy. Mainly a pocket quarterback. Struggles with seven step drops. Also seems to struggle with progressions. He doesn't have an elite arm that can make 40 to 50 yard throws from what I saw against Appalachain State. Gunnar Watson needs to improve his short, medium, and deep accuracy as well by refining his accuracy.

Opportunities: I had a fifth round grade on Gunnar Watson. Gunnar Watson is my only quarterback with a fifth round grade.

Threats: I don't see any threats with Gunnar Watson. He reminds me of a poor mans Brock Purdy that mainly plays from the pocket and struggles to take off and run when necessary.

Potential Grade: 83/99

Before 2023

Gunnar Watson struggled his first few seasons at Troy. If he can dominate without center Jake Andrews in 2023, he might get picked in day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft.
Austin Reed, QB, Western Kentucky Projected Round 6th Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-2 220 lb Austin Reed had 3,340 passing yards, 31 passing touchdowns, 100 rushing yards, 4 rushing touchdowns, 3,440 total yards, 35 total touchdowns, 11 interceptions, and a 61.5% completion percentage in 12 games against South Florida, Houston Christian, Ohio State, Troy, Middle Tennessee State, Louisiana Tech, Jacksonville State, Liberty, UTEP, New Mexico State, Sam Houston State, and Florida International in 2023.

Austin Reed SWOT Report

Strengths: Austin Reed has the arm strength, throwing power, and velocity you want an NFL quarterback to have. He makes throws where the short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep accuracy is there.

Weaknesses: Austin Reed only knows one NFL scheme the shotgun spread offense. His footwork and mechanics are also extremely inconsistent to the point where his ceiling may max out as a third string quarterback in the NFL. He also has to cut back on interceptions after throwing 11 in his first year as an FBS starter at Western Kentucky in 2022.

Opportunities: Austin Reed is a quarterback with a sixth round grade. Two years ago, I said Bailey Zappe was nothing more than an NFL backup and stood by that statement. Now I feel like Austin Reed is the first of two quality third string quarterbacks you can get in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Threats: Austin Reed is a project in terms of footwork and mechanics. He also only knows one offensive scheme. Austin Reed has the arm and accuracy to develop into an NFL backup, but he has to go to an NFL team with an established quarterback, offensive coordinator, and quarterbacks coach where he can learn and grow for a year or two before being thrown into the fire right out of the gate if he wants to develop from a third string quarterback to an NFL backup.

Potential Grade: 80/99

Before 2023

Austin Reed had 4,089 passing yards, 40 passing touchdowns, 6 rushing touchdowns, and 46 total touchdowns as a true freshman on West Florida while leading West Florida to a Division 2 Championship in 2019. After Bailey Zappe graduated, Austin Reed transferred to Western Kentucky.

Austin Reed had 4,744 passing yards, 40 passing touchdowns, 224 rushing yards, 8 rushing touchdowns, 4,966 total yards, 55 total touchdowns, 11 interceptions, and a 64.6% completion percentage in his first year as Western Kentucky's starter in 2022. Austin Reed was also the 2022 New Orleans Bowl MVP.
Carter Bradley, QB, South Alabama Projected Round 6th Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-3 218 lb Carter Bradley has 9 and 3/8 inch hands. Carter Bradley had 2,660 passing yards, 19 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, 20 total touchdowns, 7 interceptions, and a 67.8% completion percentage in 11 games against Tulane, Southeast Louisiana, Oklahoma State, Central Michigan, James Madison, Louisiana Monroe, Southern Mississippi, Louisiana, UTEP, Arkansas State, Marshall, and Texas State in 2023. Carter Bradley did well at the 2024 Hula Bowl before getting invited to the 2024 Reese's Senior Bowl.

Carter Bradley SWOT Report

Strengths: Carter Bradley has the arm strength, throwing power, and velocity you want an NFL quarterback to have. He makes throws where the short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep accuracy is there. Can execute a 3-step and 5-step drop. Fires a bullet like pass. Capable of scrambling as a runner.

Weaknesses: Carter Bradley only knows one NFL scheme the shotgun spread offense. He's got to develop a 1-step and 7-step drop. Carter Bradley can only make 1 to 2 progressions out of 6. Carter Bradley also had a

Opportunities: Carter Bradley is a quarterback with a sixth round grade. Carter Bradley projects as a backup quarterback in the NFL.

Threats: There are less threats with Carter Bradley than most quarterbacks. Carter Bradley has a high floor, but an extremely limited ceiling.

Potential Grade: 77/99

Before 2023

Carter Bradley is the son of former NFL head coach and current Indianapaolis Colts defensive coordinator Gus Bradley. Carter Bradley was born in Jacksonvile, Florida which is where Gus Bradley's first NFL head coaching gig was too.

Carter Bradley began as a backup at Toledo. Carter Bradley transferred from Toledo to South Alabama had 3,336 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns, 64 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns, 3,390 total yards, 30 total touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and a 64.8% completion percentage in his first year as South Alabama's starter in 2022.
Devin Leary, QB, Kentucky Projected Round 7th Round

2023 Season Recap The 6-1 216 lb Devin Leary had 2,746 passing yards, 25 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, 26 total touchdowns, 12 interceptions, and a 56.3% completion percentage in 13 games against Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, Vanderbilt, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Alaama, South Carolina, Louisville, and Clemson in 2023.

Devin Leary SWOT Report

Strengths: Devin Leary has the arm strength, short accuracy, medium accuracy, and deep accuracy that you want from a quarterback He can play in a shotgun spread offense or a balanced run first offense as those are the two offensive schemes he could develop from a third string quarterback to a backup in. Can make up to 3 progressions out of 6.

Weaknesses: Has below average velocity. His footwork is a major work in progress. He panics under pressure and is prone to turnovers.

Opportunities: Devin Leary is my only quarterback with a seventh round grade and the final quarterback in my top 15. Devin Leary could go undrafted as well.

Threats: Devin Leary suffered a season ending injury in 2022, but stayed healthy in 2023 after transferring from North Carolina State to Kentucky. I also don't see a quarterback who is that spectacular. His confidence goes up and down in spurts.

Potential Grade: 76/99

Before 2023

Devin Leary is a four star quarterback in the class of 2018. Devin Leary's best season came in 2021 with 3,433 passing yards, 35 passing touchdowns, and 5 interceptions as a sophomore redshirt in 2021. Devin Leary helped North Carolina State start 4-0 in 2022 with a top 10 ranking before losing to Clemson. Devin Leary suffered a season ending injury in the sixth game of the 2022 season against Florida State.

2024 NFL Draft: Quarterback Rankings

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